NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	119		Excitement	8.8 [76]		MVP	Cam Spencer (MEM): +34.7%
San Antonio Spurs	126		Comeback	5.2 [125]		LVP	Cedric Coward (MEM): -23.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cam Spencer	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.35	0.21	0.16	0.02	8	95%	0.35	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
John Konchar	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.16	0.07	0.00	5	118%	0.23	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jaylen Wells	0.14	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.17	0.01	0.04	9	77%	0.14	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Vince Williams Jr.	0.14	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14	0.01	0.11	-0.02	12	50%	0.15	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jock Landale	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	8	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Edey	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.05	0.01	12	68%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Santi Aldama	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.14	-0.06	-0.07	9	35%	-0.04	5	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.03	-0.02	5	20%	-0.06	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Coward	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.11	-0.13	0.00	13	33%	-0.13	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.21,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.13	-0.00	19	60%	0.26	3	-0.04	10	90%	0.04
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.04	0.16	0.00	8	55%	0.22	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.20	-0.01	0.03	20	69%	0.21	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Dylan Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.10	0.00	10	56%	0.16	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.03
Jeremy Sochan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.05	-0.00	6	85%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Carter Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Vassell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	11	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David Jones Garcia	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Julian Champagnie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	10	35%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	0.0	33.2	0.0	31.0	0.0	39.6	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +23.1%

SAS +8.5%

MEM -3.6%

SAS +16.4%

SAS +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SAS	NBA	MEM	SAS	NBA
this game	14.4	14.3	14.1	119.0	124.8	113.7
season	13.7	14.0		110.5	117.1
opponent	14.3	14.4		112.5	112.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.9	12.4	13.9	15.5	14.4
SAS	13.4	14.3	14.3	15.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jock Landale	76	75	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.07	2	-9	11	14.7	13.1	1.63	14.7	12.9	1.86
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	39	38	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.07	2	-9	11	15.1	13.9	1.13	14.9	13.9	1.05
John Konchar	82	83	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.37	1	-8	9	14.7	12.9	1.79	15.0	10.7	4.38
Cam Spencer	87	88	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.28	-6	-1	-5	14.9	10.8	4.13	14.7	11.5	3.13
Jaylen Wells	77	79	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.35	-9	2	-11	15.0	12.1	2.95	14.5	13.6	0.86
Santi Aldama	97	98	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.33	-10	3	-13	14.5	9.0	5.53	14.6	3.7	10.93
Zach Edey	73	73	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.31	-11	4	-15	15.0	12.5	2.52	14.4	13.9	0.47
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	80	82	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.30	-12	5	-17	15.2	11.1	4.01	14.1	14.8	-0.64
Vince Williams Jr.	81	83	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.28	-15	8	-23	15.2	10.9	4.21	14.0	15.6	-1.64
Cedric Coward	81	83	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.28	-15	8	-23	15.2	10.9	4.21	14.0	15.6	-1.64
Jaren Jackson Jr.	82	84	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.36	-13	6	-19	14.6	13.4	1.12	14.1	15.2	-1.16

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Kornet	73	73	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.36	9	-2	11	14.4	13.9	0.47	15.0	12.5	2.52
Harrison Barnes	86	84	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.30	11	-4	15	14.1	15.2	-1.10	14.9	11.7	3.11
Keldon Johnson	98	98	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.30	7	0	7	14.3	13.7	0.62	14.3	15.0	-0.65
De'Aaron Fox	101	100	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	0	7	14.3	0.0	14.27	14.4	0.0	14.36
Devin Vassell	66	65	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.43	2	5	-3	15.0	13.0	1.98	15.2	12.7	2.49
Julian Champagnie	89	89	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	6	-5	14.5	12.5	2.01	14.4	14.4	-0.00
Carter Bryant	73	72	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	3	1	13.7	15.9	-2.20	14.2	14.8	-0.64
Kelly Olynyk	18	17	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	6	-5	13.8	14.4	-0.53	17.0	13.8	3.18
David Jones Garcia	24	24	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.05	-1	8	-9	13.9	14.4	-0.51	14.5	14.3	0.18
Dylan Harper	91	89	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.06	1	6	-5	14.3	13.8	0.52	14.6	12.1	2.55
Jeremy Sochan	84	84	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.09	-4	11	-15	14.7	12.2	2.44	14.6	13.1	1.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.56,0.32,0.17,0.29,0.6,0.32,0.72,0.76,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 90, DET 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.31,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.76,0.85,1	91.7%
NYK 105, IND 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.63,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.54,0.77,0.96,1	91.0%
ORL 96, SAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.85,0.99,1,1	90.8%