NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	105		Excitement	7.9 [283]		MVP	Paul George (IND): +28.0%
Indiana Pacers	108		Comeback	3.8 [501]		LVP	Arron Afflalo (NYK): -12.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle O'Quinn	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.17	0.07	0.00	10	83%	0.24	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Langston Galloway	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.28,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.07	0.16	-0.00	9	77%	0.34	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Jose Calderon	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16	0.18	-0.01	0.01	10	83%	0.16	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Kristaps Porzingis	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	14	61%	0.12	1	-0.04	8	75%	0.03
Robin Lopez	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	4	62%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.15,-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.00	20	32%	-0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Arron Afflalo	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	6	29%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.24,0.29,0.28	0.28	0.00	0.26	-0.02	23	50%	0.34	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.09
Myles Turner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.10	0.05	20	53%	0.14	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	4	87%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	8	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	5	73%	0.09	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Joe Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	8	44%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	8	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.06	0.02	6	67%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.8	25.3	15.4	25.9	1.8	41.1	136.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +23.6%

NYK -17.4%

IND +6.9%

IND +22.1%

IND +14.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	IND	NBA	NYK	IND	NBA
this game	15.1	15.3	14.9	111.7	113.7	105.1
season	15.6	14.6		103.5	103.2
opponent	14.9	14.8		101.6	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.8	13.4	15.7	15.9	15.1
IND	15.5	14.8	15.6	15.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle O'Quinn	32	30	0.38	-0.88	1.26	0.09	10	-13	23	14.8	15.3	-0.56	16.3	14.9	1.37
Sasha Vujacic	19	19	0.31	-0.81	1.12	0.11	7	-10	17	17.5	14.6	2.91	16.4	15.1	1.30
Lance Thomas	63	62	-0.04	-0.47	0.43	-0.42	13	-16	29	14.8	15.8	-0.93	15.5	14.9	0.59
Langston Galloway	56	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.37	3	-6	9	15.2	15.0	0.21	15.7	14.8	0.94
Arron Afflalo	47	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.00	-10	7	-17	15.0	15.3	-0.26	15.0	15.7	-0.70
Robin Lopez	50	52	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	11	-25	15.6	14.7	0.88	14.4	16.4	-1.95
Kristaps Porzingis	70	71	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	1	-5	15.0	15.7	-0.70	15.9	13.5	2.39
Jose Calderon	66	66	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.55	-6	3	-9	14.5	16.7	-2.18	15.0	16.2	-1.22
Carmelo Anthony	67	70	-0.89	0.39	-1.28	-0.48	-14	11	-25	15.5	14.3	1.20	14.8	16.8	-2.05

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Myles Turner	61	59	0.90	-0.40	1.31	0.55	12	-9	21	14.6	16.6	-2.06	15.5	14.6	0.87
Monta Ellis	72	70	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.51	10	-7	17	15.1	16.0	-0.83	15.2	15.0	0.14
Ian Mahinmi	61	61	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.49	10	-7	17	15.0	15.8	-0.77	15.1	15.2	-0.00
George Hill	63	63	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.51	7	-4	11	14.8	16.4	-1.63	15.2	15.1	0.08
Paul George	73	72	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.48	7	-4	11	14.9	16.8	-1.88	15.1	15.4	-0.28
Joe Young	29	29	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.09	-3	6	-9	16.1	15.0	1.12	14.4	15.5	-1.06
Chase Budinger	22	22	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.07	-4	7	-11	16.8	14.9	1.88	15.4	15.1	0.28
Jordan Hill	34	33	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.08	-7	10	-17	15.8	15.0	0.77	15.2	15.1	0.00
Solomon Hill	26	26	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	-0.10	-8	11	-19	16.3	14.9	1.40	15.8	14.9	0.91
Lavoy Allen	34	35	-0.40	0.90	-1.31	-0.14	-9	12	-21	16.6	14.6	2.06	14.6	15.5	-0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.63,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.54,0.77,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 91, IND 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.83,0.72,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.71,0.67,1,1	92.3%
MEM 89, DET 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.38,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.85,0.99,1	91.6%
DAL 107, ATL 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.79,0.73,0.67,0.59,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.72,0.67,0.92,1	91.0%