NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	107		Excitement	8.2 [241]		MVP	Dennis Schroder (ATL): +56.3%
Atlanta Hawks	112		Comeback	2.5 [398]		LVP	Wesley Matthews (DAL): -22.8%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.J. Barea	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.34,0.26,0.26	0.06	0.19	-0.01	11	65%	0.30	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.31,0.26	0.12	0.15	0.01	11	78%	0.30	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Dwight Powell	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	5	100%	0.19	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Salah Mejri	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Harrison Barnes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,0	0.03	-0.03	-0.01	21	48%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Dennis Smith Jr.	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	8	32%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Kyle Collinsworth	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23	-0.08	-0.16	-0.01	9	39%	-0.12	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.57,0.56	0.56	0.18	0.37	-0.01	22	70%	0.64	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.31	0.31	0.17	0.18	0.04	9	91%	0.37	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	9	62%	0.09	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	8	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.06
Tyler Cavanaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Delaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	58%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	7	67%	0.06	6	-0.15	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	27.9	14.5	28.3	1.5	33.2	131.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +55.3%

ATL +6.6%

DAL -3.2%

DAL -9.0%

ATL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	ATL	NBA	DAL	ATL	NBA
this game	16.8	14.7	14.7	117.6	121.7	107.5
season	15.4	14.6		105.3	104.2
opponent	14.4	14.3		109.8	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.7	16.7	15.3	17.8	16.8
ATL	13.1	14.6	13.5	18.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Powell	41	44	0.27	-0.77	1.03	-0.03	10	-15	25	16.2	17.2	-1.00	15.6	13.9	1.67
Devin Harris	33	35	0.21	-0.71	0.93	0.07	5	-10	15	15.1	17.8	-2.67	15.3	14.3	1.00
Salah Mejri	21	20	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-7	9	16.7	16.8	-0.16	14.8	14.7	0.20
J.J. Barea	54	54	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.38	12	-17	29	16.1	17.8	-1.72	16.0	12.8	3.25
Dennis Smith Jr.	45	46	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.07	-7	2	-9	16.2	17.4	-1.21	13.4	16.0	-2.61
Maxi Kleber	38	40	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.06	-12	7	-19	17.7	16.1	1.62	12.1	16.7	-4.59
Yogi Ferrell	42	43	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.40	-3	-2	-1	17.9	15.8	2.07	16.1	13.4	2.67
Dirk Nowitzki	52	52	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	1	-7	16.1	17.7	-1.62	14.6	14.8	-0.14
Wesley Matthews	64	62	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.41	-11	6	-17	17.4	15.3	2.13	14.4	15.3	-0.90
Harrison Barnes	65	64	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.40	-13	8	-21	17.7	14.5	3.21	14.5	15.1	-0.59

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kent Bazemore	56	54	1.03	-0.53	1.56	0.53	17	-12	29	14.2	15.5	-1.32	17.7	15.5	2.20
Dennis Schroder	66	68	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.36	18	-13	31	14.6	14.8	-0.21	17.4	15.1	2.22
Taurean Prince	54	57	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.39	9	-4	13	14.2	15.4	-1.28	17.1	16.3	0.79
Ersan Ilyasova	67	68	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.32	8	-3	11	14.8	14.5	0.24	16.9	16.4	0.48
Miles Plumlee	42	40	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	-7	19	13.3	15.9	-2.64	17.5	16.2	1.31
Malcolm Delaney	52	50	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.34	0	5	-5	16.0	12.9	3.09	16.0	17.7	-1.67
Tyler Cavanaugh	30	27	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.09	-7	12	-19	15.2	14.4	0.80	16.1	17.1	-1.02
John Collins	39	39	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	-0.03	-10	15	-25	14.4	14.9	-0.45	16.2	17.3	-1.12
Marco Belinelli	29	29	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.08	-9	14	-23	15.5	14.3	1.20	16.1	17.1	-1.06
Isaiah Taylor	25	23	-0.39	0.89	-1.29	-0.01	-13	18	-31	15.4	14.4	0.97	15.1	17.4	-2.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.79,0.73,0.67,0.59,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.72,0.67,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 88, ATL 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.6,0.6,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.85,0.98,1,1	91.8%
VAN 98, PHX 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.53,0.45,0.63,0.76,0.85,1	91.6%
DET 68, MEM 72	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.47,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.57,0.57,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.53,0.85,0.84,0.82,1	91.6%