NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	68		Excitement	8.4 [210]		MVP	Shane Battier (MEM): +14.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	72		Comeback	2.5 [719]		LVP	Mike Miller (MEM): -39.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elden Campbell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	1	75%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Darvin Ham	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	8	37%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	2	17%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Rasheed Wallace	-0.17	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.08,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.17	-0.03	-0.15	-0.00	20	49%	-0.05	2	-0.13	5	80%	-0.04
Ben Wallace	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.10	-0.13	-0.03	9	41%	-0.15	3	-0.05	4	25%	-0.10
Chauncey Billups	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.29,-0.21	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	10	37%	-0.14	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.09
Richard Hamilton	-0.30	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.3	-0.05	-0.25	0.01	21	43%	-0.04	2	-0.26	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.14	0.14	-0.05	0.18	-0.01	6	44%	0.17	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.22
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	7	69%	0.11	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	6	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.05	-0.01	17	56%	0.08	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	3	14%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	9	40%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Antonio Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	3	25%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.15	-0.08	-0.03	12	32%	-0.13	3	-0.08	4	25%	-0.15
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.2,-0.39	-0.39	-0.08	-0.30	0.02	9	44%	-0.20	4	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.7	33.8	16.5	28.2	1.6	38.2	143.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +15.5%

MEM +8.4%

MEM +15.7%

MEM +10.9%

DET -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	MEM	NBA	DET	MEM	NBA
this game	16.0	17.9	15.5	79.1	85.7	104.0
season	16.7	16.4		103.5	103.7
opponent	15.5	15.9		101.9	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.1	14.5	19.2	16.0	16.0
MEM	16.9	18.4	19.7	16.7	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darko Milicic	15	16	0.39	-0.89	1.28	0.01	13	-17	30	18.4	15.5	2.88	16.5	18.2	-1.71
Lindsey Hunter	22	22	0.34	-0.84	1.18	0.02	11	-15	26	14.3	16.6	-2.29	17.6	18.0	-0.33
Ronald Dupree	25	26	0.24	-0.74	0.99	-0.05	10	-14	24	16.6	15.8	0.87	18.2	17.8	0.40
Darvin Ham	10	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-1	-2	11.1	16.7	-5.57	18.0	17.9	0.14
Elden Campbell	9	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-3	2	14.0	16.3	-2.26	18.4	17.8	0.60
Richard Hamilton	73	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	-1	-2	16.2	14.9	1.30	17.5	20.2	-2.76
Rasheed Wallace	66	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.36	-5	1	-6	16.9	13.0	3.87	18.0	17.3	0.74
Ben Wallace	72	68	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.42	-12	8	-20	15.6	18.0	-2.36	18.0	17.4	0.55
Chauncey Billups	69	67	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.39	-14	10	-24	16.5	14.0	2.52	18.1	17.1	1.03
Tayshaun Prince	69	65	-0.85	0.35	-1.19	-0.38	-16	12	-28	15.6	17.6	-1.95	18.1	17.2	0.87

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Watson	65	69	0.96	-0.46	1.43	0.47	17	-13	30	17.8	18.3	-0.49	16.2	15.4	0.76
Shane Battier	48	52	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.36	20	-16	36	17.5	18.4	-0.84	15.8	16.4	-0.64
Mike Miller	55	57	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.42	17	-13	30	17.0	19.6	-2.55	15.7	16.7	-0.95
Lorenzen Wright	67	69	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.47	8	-4	12	18.1	17.1	0.96	15.9	16.6	-0.70
Pau Gasol	70	69	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.34	9	-5	14	17.7	18.7	-1.00	16.5	14.2	2.23
Stromile Swift	31	34	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.04	-9	13	-22	17.8	17.9	-0.07	15.4	16.4	-1.01
Bonzi Wells	29	29	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.04	-13	17	-30	19.6	17.0	2.55	16.7	15.7	0.95
James Posey	36	34	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	0.03	-16	20	-36	18.4	17.5	0.84	16.4	15.8	0.64
Antonio Burks	19	17	-0.46	0.96	-1.43	-0.08	-13	17	-30	18.3	17.8	0.49	15.4	16.2	-0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.47,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.57,0.57,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.53,0.85,0.84,0.82,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 76, CLE 79	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.42,0.47,0.31,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.79,0.9,0.83,1	92.1%
DAL 107, ATL 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.79,0.73,0.67,0.59,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.72,0.67,0.92,1	91.6%
ORL 96, SAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.85,0.99,1,1	91.6%