NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	115		Excitement	8.1 [200]		MVP	Mike Conley (MIN): +29.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	119		Comeback	4.6 [325]		LVP	Baylor Scheierman (BOS): -8.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaylen Brown	0.20	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.27,0.2	0.12	0.09	0.01	32	60%	0.35	4	-0.15	4	50%	-0.02
Josh Minott	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	3	83%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Neemias Queta	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	8	79%	0.11	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.02
Luka Garza	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	12	58%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	16	46%	0.03	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Payton Pritchard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	14	32%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Walsh	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baylor Scheierman	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	4	37%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.08	0.21	0.00	2	150%	0.29	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.16,0.24	0.24	0.26	0.01	0.03	24	66%	0.24	0	0.00	11	91%	0.04
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.01	9	75%	0.13	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	6	80%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Terrence Shannon Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.07	-0.00	7	62%	0.17	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Rob Dillingham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	13	57%	0.10	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.00
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	9	56%	0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.6	26.5	14.2	29.2	1.3	36.6	132.1
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +33.0%

MIN +14.1%

MIN +6.1%

BOS -4.5%

MIN +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MIN	NBA	BOS	MIN	NBA
this game	15.1	14.2	14.2	117.3	121.4	113.5
season	15.4	13.9		119.3	115.5
opponent	14.1	14.3		111.6	112.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.4	14.9	15.1	14.3	15.1
MIN	12.9	15.1	13.7	15.1	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luka Garza	29	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.08	-9	5	-14	17.9	14.0	3.96	12.6	14.8	-2.22
Jordan Walsh	56	56	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.16	-3	-1	-2	16.6	13.2	3.38	14.2	14.2	-0.04
Josh Minott	77	78	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	2	-8	16.1	11.6	4.48	13.8	15.5	-1.70
Anfernee Simons	64	65	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	-6	2	-8	16.4	12.9	3.51	12.9	16.8	-3.87
Baylor Scheierman	30	30	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	8	-20	18.5	13.7	4.84	13.0	14.7	-1.67
Neemias Queta	84	84	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.36	-1	-3	2	15.6	12.4	3.17	14.3	13.3	1.06
Sam Hauser	98	98	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	15.1	0.0	15.14	14.2	0.0	14.19
Jaylen Brown	98	98	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	15.1	0.0	15.14	14.2	0.0	14.19
Derrick White	98	98	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	15.1	0.0	15.14	14.2	0.0	14.19
Payton Pritchard	84	84	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.37	-11	7	-18	15.2	15.1	0.08	14.3	13.4	0.98

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	77	78	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.36	13	-9	22	13.9	15.2	-1.33	15.4	14.1	1.25
Donte DiVincenzo	70	72	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.34	10	-6	16	13.9	15.0	-1.18	16.0	12.7	3.39
Rudy Gobert	79	80	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.30	11	-7	18	14.7	12.3	2.40	15.9	11.6	4.39
Jaden McDaniels	72	74	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.15	14	-10	24	14.1	14.5	-0.36	16.5	11.0	5.54
Anthony Edwards	93	93	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.37	5	-1	6	14.3	12.0	2.31	15.3	11.4	3.94
Julius Randle	98	98	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	14.2	0.0	14.19	15.1	0.0	15.14
Jaylen Clark	95	95	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.35	5	-1	6	14.4	8.0	6.39	15.3	11.3	3.93
Terrence Shannon Jr.	90	90	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.20	10	-6	16	14.0	16.4	-2.37	15.8	7.5	8.32
Naz Reid	95	96	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.35	3	1	2	14.4	7.7	6.73	15.3	6.0	9.33
Rob Dillingham	16	17	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	6	-8	13.4	14.3	-0.90	15.8	15.0	0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.7,0.58,0.68,0.78,0.71,0.9,0.98,0.98,0.85,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 89, POR 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.39,0.41,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.71,0.63,0.79,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	92.5%
DEN 95, DET 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.3,0.34,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.71,0.83,0.75,0.95,0.9,0.96,1	92.2%
CHA 94, DET 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.33,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.33,0.27,0.16,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.24,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.69,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.69,0.78,0.85,0.78,0.91,0.95,1	92.2%