NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	94		Excitement	8.4 [226]		MVP	Tobias Harris (DET): +22.8%
Detroit Pistons	98		Comeback	5.4 [482]		LVP	Miles Bridges (CHA): -27.9%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Richards	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	-0.00	7	59%	0.13	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Seth Curry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.00	5	82%	0.10	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Nick Smith Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Tidjane Salaun	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	7	53%	0.02	1	-0.06	3	33%	-0.04
Cody Martin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	5	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Mark Williams	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06	0.04	-0.09	0.01	12	62%	0.07	3	-0.13	5	80%	0.00
KJ Simpson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15	-0.03	-0.12	-0.00	10	36%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.09
Vasilije Micic	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.15	-0.05	-0.00	8	21%	-0.11	4	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00
Miles Bridges	-0.28	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21,-0.21,-0.28	-0.10	-0.18	-0.01	16	49%	-0.01	6	-0.27	9	78%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.15	0.08	0.00	16	71%	0.25	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	83%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0	0.00	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	20	43%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	10	46%	0.01	1	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Ausar Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.06
Ronald Holland II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	8	56%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Duren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	9	56%	0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Moore Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	16	36%	-0.05	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Marcus Sasser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	5	30%	-0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	34.1	13.7	24.2	2.8	39.6	141.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +37.8%

CHA -14.6%

DET +14.1%

DET +18.3%

CHA -5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	DET	NBA	CHA	DET	NBA
this game	15.7	13.5	14.4	94.9	100.0	113.1
season	15.0	14.1		106.2	114.0
opponent	14.5	14.2		112.2	115.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.9	15.7	18.0	13.8	15.7
DET	12.9	12.0	14.8	14.5	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Richards	36	35	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.07	11	-15	26	15.4	15.9	-0.52	14.5	12.9	1.61
Vasilije Micic	48	49	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-3	2	16.6	14.9	1.70	14.1	12.8	1.33
Cody Martin	44	43	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.15	3	-7	10	14.5	16.7	-2.20	12.7	14.1	-1.39
Nick Smith Jr.	16	16	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-3	2	13.7	16.1	-2.38	13.1	13.5	-0.42
Tidjane Salaun	42	40	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.18	0	-4	4	14.7	16.5	-1.79	12.6	14.1	-1.49
Seth Curry	46	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.05	-5	1	-6	16.9	14.8	2.10	14.1	12.9	1.25
Josh Green	70	72	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.34	-5	1	-6	16.1	14.8	1.30	13.5	13.5	-0.03
Miles Bridges	80	80	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	-1	-2	15.9	15.0	0.93	13.4	13.8	-0.37
KJ Simpson	54	51	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.42	-5	1	-6	15.4	16.2	-0.83	13.4	13.6	-0.26
Mark Williams	59	57	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.25	-14	10	-24	16.2	15.1	1.13	13.3	13.8	-0.52

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tobias Harris	72	73	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.33	11	-7	18	13.3	13.8	-0.50	16.5	13.5	3.00
Malik Beasley	65	66	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.29	7	-3	10	12.8	14.8	-1.93	15.5	16.2	-0.65
Isaiah Stewart	38	39	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	1	2	13.2	13.7	-0.53	15.4	15.9	-0.51
Marcus Sasser	46	48	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.34	-1	5	-6	13.2	13.7	-0.58	14.8	16.6	-1.81
Tim Hardaway Jr.	70	70	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.30	-1	5	-6	13.8	12.7	1.02	15.3	16.9	-1.63
Wendell Moore Jr.	32	31	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.05	7	-3	10	12.8	13.8	-0.99	16.6	15.3	1.31
Jalen Duren	49	50	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.15	-1	5	-6	14.6	12.4	2.14	15.6	15.9	-0.38
Cade Cunningham	55	55	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	4	-4	14.0	12.9	1.10	16.3	15.1	1.22
Paul Reed	11	11	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	2	0	9.8	13.9	-4.12	17.4	15.5	1.82
Ausar Thompson	29	29	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.20	-6	10	-16	14.2	13.2	1.08	16.3	15.5	0.75
Ronald Holland II	23	23	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	5	-6	14.3	13.2	1.02	14.3	16.2	-1.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.33,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.33,0.27,0.16,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.24,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.69,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.69,0.78,0.85,0.78,0.91,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 74, PHX 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.8,0.91,1	94.1%
DEN 95, DET 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.3,0.34,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.71,0.83,0.75,0.95,0.9,0.96,1	92.4%
BOS 104, IND 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.41,0.25,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.39,0.38,0.31,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.7,0.62,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.87,0.97,0.93,1,1,1	92.3%