NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	122		Excitement	5.2 [486]		MVP	Caris LeVert (DET): +14.9%
Indiana Pacers	117		Comeback	1.1 [687]		LVP	Andrew Nembhard (IND): -11.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caris LeVert	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15	0.12	0.05	0.02	9	70%	0.17	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.01
Cade Cunningham	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.12	-0.00	0.07	-0.06	18	52%	0.16	3	-0.04	10	80%	-0.01
Jaden Ivey	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	10	60%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	6	75%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.00	8	63%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Ausar Thompson	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	9	68%	0.07	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Jalen Duren	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	10	61%	0.09	3	-0.05	8	62%	-0.02
Daniss Jenkins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Javonte Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Duncan Robinson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	10	37%	-0.00	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Ronald Holland II	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarace Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.14	0.19	-0.01	0.04	10	105%	0.19	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.05	0.02	4	69%	0.10	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.00	6	83%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	12	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jay Huff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	58%	0.06	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Tony Bradley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.06	12	63%	0.05	3	-0.06	14	71%	-0.03
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Sheppard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	13	41%	-0.05	3	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.04	0.02	14	37%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.4	39.4	14.7	33.3	1.2	37.1	151.8
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +40.1%

IND -0.9%

DET +12.3%

IND -2.0%

DET +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	IND	NBA	DET	IND	NBA
this game	14.2	13.8	14.2	119.6	112.5	113.5
season	14.1	13.9		115.3	107.4
opponent	14.1	14.2		115.5	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	13.0	14.0	14.7	15.0	14.2
IND	14.1	14.8	12.5	13.8	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cade Cunningham	91	93	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.34	7	-2	9	14.6	10.6	3.95	13.8	14.0	-0.25
Tobias Harris	77	79	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.28	8	-3	11	14.2	13.9	0.31	14.2	12.6	1.60
Jalen Duren	81	82	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.30	7	-2	9	14.7	12.2	2.42	14.2	12.2	2.03
Duncan Robinson	83	84	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.28	7	-2	9	14.6	12.3	2.26	14.1	12.5	1.52
Ausar Thompson	78	79	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.31	5	0	5	14.6	12.7	1.95	14.2	12.6	1.60
Caris LeVert	93	95	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	0	5	13.8	17.9	-4.09	14.2	9.2	4.99
Ronald Holland II	71	74	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.04	16	-11	27	14.0	14.4	-0.38	14.1	13.0	1.14
Jaden Ivey	68	70	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	-8	21	13.4	15.8	-2.41	14.4	12.6	1.77
Isaiah Stewart	85	85	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.41	-7	12	-19	14.2	13.8	0.40	13.8	13.7	0.12
Javonte Green	44	45	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	0	5	13.6	14.6	-1.00	14.6	13.1	1.49
Daniss Jenkins	35	34	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	1	3	12.9	14.8	-1.89	14.6	13.4	1.25

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrison Mathews	31	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	-1	-3	14.5	13.5	1.10	13.0	14.6	-1.62
Jay Huff	79	79	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.39	8	-13	21	13.5	14.7	-1.24	14.5	13.0	1.44
Jarace Walker	87	86	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.37	5	-10	15	13.7	13.9	-0.19	14.1	14.7	-0.63
Tony Bradley	22	21	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.09	-14	9	-23	16.3	13.1	3.16	12.5	14.6	-2.06
Isaiah Jackson	81	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.28	-5	0	-5	14.2	12.1	2.12	14.8	12.1	2.67
T.J. McConnell	85	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.04	-14	9	-23	14.3	11.6	2.63	13.7	16.0	-2.27
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	77	75	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.01	-16	11	-27	14.3	12.4	1.85	14.2	14.0	0.16
Pascal Siakam	103	101	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.34	-5	0	-5	13.9	2.0	11.89	14.1	23.0	-8.93
Bennedict Mathurin	82	80	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.26	-8	3	-11	14.0	13.0	0.99	14.2	13.9	0.37
Ben Sheppard	78	76	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.28	-8	3	-11	14.3	12.3	1.91	14.4	13.4	1.04
Andrew Nembhard	93	91	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.34	-7	2	-9	13.8	14.0	-0.25	14.6	10.6	3.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.23,0.26,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 122, IND 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0	94.4%
GSW 114, MEM 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
LAC 85, DAL 71	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%