NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	114		Excitement	3.9 [938]		MVP	Alec Burks (GSW): +10.8%
Memphis Grizzlies	95		Comeback	1.2 [394]		LVP	Ja Morant (MEM): -11.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alec Burks	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	-0.00	0.01	15	74%	0.15	5	-0.04	9	100%	0.03
Marquese Chriss	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	11	65%	0.12	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Glenn Robinson III	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.13	-0.00	0.08	14	69%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eric Paschall	-0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	15	52%	0.02	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	12	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ky Bowman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Poole	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	8	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omari Spellman	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	9	43%	-0.00	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Clarke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	14	50%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	1	67%	0.02	1	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	11	62%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Bruno Caboclo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Guduric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.08	17	51%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0.04	7	47%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ja Morant	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	0.03	20	43%	-0.07	3	-0.04	6	83%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	32.4	14.5	28.2	1.8	30.2	134.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +30.0%

GSW +1.6%

GSW +14.6%

GSW +1.6%

GSW +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MEM	NBA	GSW	MEM	NBA
this game	14.1	14.4	14.2	112.9	94.1	109.6
season	14.1	13.8		103.9	108.2
opponent	13.9	14.3		109.2	112.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.9	12.6	14.1	17.1	14.1
MEM	15.3	16.3	12.6	13.6	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	72	72	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.08	19	0	19	14.2	13.9	0.22	14.6	14.0	0.65
Glenn Robinson III	70	72	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	3	13	13.9	14.5	-0.62	14.2	15.0	-0.76
Alec Burks	77	75	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.14	9	10	-1	14.2	13.6	0.61	14.5	14.3	0.21
Willie Cauley-Stein	57	54	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.17	4	15	-11	13.8	14.4	-0.61	14.4	14.5	-0.16
Eric Paschall	48	51	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.06	7	12	-5	14.2	14.0	0.15	15.3	13.6	1.71
Omari Spellman	49	48	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.09	11	8	3	14.2	14.0	0.26	14.3	14.5	-0.26
Marquese Chriss	43	46	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.22	15	4	11	14.3	13.9	0.33	14.6	14.3	0.30
Ky Bowman	53	52	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.29	15	4	11	14.4	13.7	0.73	13.9	15.0	-1.04
Jordan Poole	36	35	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	20	-21	13.4	14.5	-1.04	14.0	14.7	-0.70

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyus Jones	30	28	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.09	6	-25	31	12.6	15.2	-2.64	14.5	13.9	0.62
Marko Guduric	14	14	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.19	-5	-14	9	12.9	14.7	-1.74	13.4	14.2	-0.77
Bruno Caboclo	5	4	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-17	15	16.2	14.3	1.87	7.5	14.4	-6.86
De'Anthony Melton	11	11	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.31	-14	-5	-9	14.1	14.5	-0.38	17.3	13.7	3.57
Brandon Clarke	57	55	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.04	-3	-16	13	13.5	15.7	-2.23	13.6	14.7	-1.03
Solomon Hill	46	47	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.24	-13	-6	-7	13.8	15.0	-1.22	14.5	13.7	0.79
Jaren Jackson Jr.	38	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.05	-6	-13	7	14.9	14.1	0.84	13.5	14.4	-0.89
Kyle Anderson	43	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	-10	1	14.7	14.3	0.39	13.9	14.3	-0.40
Jonas Valanciunas	53	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	-11	3	15.0	13.8	1.21	15.3	12.7	2.55
Jae Crowder	68	68	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-14	9	14.7	13.8	0.99	14.1	14.0	0.13
Dillon Brooks	69	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	-8	-3	14.7	13.8	0.90	13.7	15.0	-1.31
Ja Morant	71	73	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	0.15	-25	6	-31	15.2	12.6	2.64	13.9	14.5	-0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 118, BOS 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.34,0.42,0.35,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
LAC 85, DAL 71	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
SAS 98, POR 79	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%