NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	102		Excitement	6.2 [188]		MVP	Devin Booker (PHX): +15.2%
Phoenix Suns	111		Comeback	3.8 [130]		LVP	David Jones Garcia (SAS): -16.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keldon Johnson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	0.00	8	87%	0.13	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.13	0.02	0.06	11	68%	0.13	2	-0.05	16	87%	0.04
Devin Vassell	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.00	0.08	-0.00	13	57%	0.13	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Carter Bryant	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	3	100%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Sochan	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	58%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Harrison Barnes	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	11	46%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Julian Champagnie	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	14	32%	-0.05	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Kelly Olynyk	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	3	36%	-0.02	4	-0.11	5	80%	0.03
David Jones Garcia	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.01	0.08	-0.06	18	51%	0.15	2	-0.00	11	73%	-0.02
Mark Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.05	0.01	8	74%	0.15	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Collin Gillespie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.04	-0.03	13	58%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Goodwin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.01	15	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	8	56%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	24	50%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Livers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Richards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oso Ighodaro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	0.0	28.9	0.0	30.7	0.0	32.3	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +49.8%

SAS -19.2%

SAS -15.0%

PHX +37.4%

SAS -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHX	NBA	SAS	PHX	NBA
this game	14.7	14.4	14.1	105.2	109.9	113.7
season	14.0	13.9		117.1	112.6
opponent	14.5	14.3		112.9	112.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	11.6	14.6	18.1	14.6	14.7
PHX	15.4	14.2	9.9	18.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carter Bryant	17	16	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-10	11	14.9	14.6	0.24	14.9	14.3	0.59
Harrison Barnes	75	77	-0.29	-0.20	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-6	3	14.8	14.3	0.47	15.2	11.9	3.28
David Jones Garcia	70	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-1	-7	14.8	14.4	0.43	13.0	17.9	-4.82
Devin Vassell	83	86	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-4	-1	14.3	17.2	-2.96	14.7	12.6	2.09
Kelly Olynyk	60	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	4	-17	14.6	14.8	-0.21	13.3	16.1	-2.81
De'Aaron Fox	97	101	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	0	-9	14.7	0.0	14.68	14.4	0.0	14.38
Jeremy Sochan	85	87	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.12	-13	4	-17	15.4	9.6	5.82	13.6	19.4	-5.78
Julian Champagnie	97	100	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.25	-9	0	-9	14.7	0.0	14.68	14.4	10.0	4.42
Luke Kornet	92	93	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.23	-11	2	-13	15.1	7.8	7.25	14.2	16.5	-2.31
Keldon Johnson	91	95	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.24	-11	2	-13	14.8	13.5	1.26	14.4	14.5	-0.13

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Goodwin	94	91	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-2	13	14.5	13.0	1.48	14.8	13.5	1.26
Royce O'Neale	95	93	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.27	9	0	9	14.6	10.8	3.77	15.0	8.0	6.97
Devin Booker	101	97	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.24	9	0	9	14.4	0.0	14.38	14.7	0.0	14.68
Collin Gillespie	82	80	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.21	9	0	9	14.2	15.1	-0.90	15.1	12.6	2.54
Oso Ighodaro	73	72	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.15	11	-2	13	13.5	16.7	-3.28	15.2	13.2	1.94
Mark Williams	79	76	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.26	5	4	1	15.2	11.6	3.56	15.4	12.2	3.12
Isaiah Livers	76	73	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.12	9	0	9	13.1	18.1	-4.98	15.1	13.4	1.68
Dillon Brooks	88	86	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.24	5	4	1	14.9	11.2	3.70	14.4	16.6	-2.21
Nick Richards	11	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	13	-17	14.9	14.3	0.60	12.3	15.0	-2.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.31,0.42,0.49,0.39,0.38,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 101, SAC 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.51,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
MIL 94, DEN 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.27,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.87,0.94,0.86,0.84,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.1%
BOS 96, LAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.88,0.8,0.81,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,1	94.0%