NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	101		Excitement	5.6 [690]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +22.0%
Sacramento Kings	117		Comeback	2.6 [695]		LVP	Ray Allen (SEA): -10.6%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.22	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.16	0.05	-0.01	16	74%	0.22	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	9	65%	0.07	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Calvin Booth	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	0.01	0.08	14	66%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Ronald Murray	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ansu Sesay	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richie Frahm	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	9	32%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	1	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Ray Allen	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	18	55%	0.05	5	-0.16	6	100%	0.04

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.02	-0.04	20	57%	0.13	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Brad Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	14	66%	0.10	1	-0.01	10	70%	-0.02
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	7	87%	0.15	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.02	0.05	12	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	15	53%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jabari Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	5	46%	-0.03	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.7	30.2	15.4	27.6	2.7	27.4	128.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +18.8%

SAC +7.3%

SAC +14.2%

SAC +7.4%

SAC +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	SAC	NBA	SEA	SAC	NBA
this game	16.5	15.2	15.7	111.0	128.6	100.5
season	15.6	14.7		105.0	106.9
opponent	15.6	15.7		102.0	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.6	15.8	17.1	17.5	16.5
SAC	15.7	14.2	13.4	17.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ansu Sesay	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	13.7	16.6	-2.84	13.2	15.3	-2.03
Richie Frahm	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	13.7	16.6	-2.84	13.2	15.3	-2.03
Calvin Booth	25	25	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-15	14	16.4	16.5	-0.08	18.4	14.0	4.38
Rashard Lewis	69	71	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.00	-6	-10	4	17.3	14.0	3.31	15.3	14.8	0.43
Luke Ridnour	19	18	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.05	-10	-6	-4	17.5	16.2	1.35	15.9	15.0	0.94
Antonio Daniels	72	73	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-10	4	16.2	17.5	-1.35	15.0	15.9	-0.94
Vitaly Potapenko	56	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.15	-14	-2	-12	16.9	15.7	1.26	14.4	16.5	-2.06
Reggie Evans	41	41	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-14	12	16.2	16.7	-0.44	14.3	15.9	-1.58
Ronald Murray	32	30	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-10	4	15.0	17.2	-2.21	15.7	14.9	0.82
Vladimir Radmanovic	59	59	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.06	-15	-1	-14	16.1	17.2	-1.12	15.4	14.7	0.67
Ray Allen	74	74	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.14	-24	8	-32	16.7	15.3	1.44	14.9	16.4	-1.51

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Peeler	60	59	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.00	20	-4	24	15.6	14.3	1.31	16.9	15.6	1.29
Brad Miller	77	77	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.01	17	-1	18	14.7	17.8	-3.07	16.8	14.7	2.06
Mike Bibby	61	60	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.16	8	8	0	14.6	16.4	-1.81	16.5	16.4	0.16
Peja Stojakovic	73	73	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.09	14	2	12	15.1	15.5	-0.39	16.8	15.0	1.82
Vlade Divac	54	54	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.17	15	1	14	14.6	16.1	-1.46	17.5	15.0	2.51
Bobby Jackson	47	49	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.04	7	9	-2	16.7	13.5	3.22	15.9	17.1	-1.18
Darius Songaila	29	30	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	17	-18	15.8	14.9	0.94	14.4	17.5	-3.08
Doug Christie	36	35	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	13	-10	14.2	15.9	-1.69	16.1	16.7	-0.56
Tony Massenburg	10	10	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	15	-14	19.6	14.6	4.96	15.1	16.6	-1.53
Jabari Smith	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	13.2	15.3	-2.03	13.7	16.6	-2.84
Gerald Wallace	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	13.2	15.3	-2.03	13.7	16.6	-2.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.51,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 86, UTA 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.95,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
PHX 77, DAL 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.71,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1	94.5%
SAS 83, UTA 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%