NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	110		Excitement	9.0 [129]		MVP	Nickeil Alexander-Walker (ATL): +25.3%
Atlanta Hawks	113		Comeback	4.0 [317]		LVP	Collin Sexton (CHA): -16.5%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Moussa Diabat�	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.10	0.12	0.00	4	100%	0.25	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Kon Knueppel	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.08	0.19	-0.10	0.01	17	76%	0.23	2	-0.16	3	100%	0.03
Mason Plumlee	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	86%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Liam McNeeley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
KJ Simpson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sion James	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	7	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Drew Peterson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	-0.11	0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.11	-0.03	-0.10	-0.02	21	46%	-0.06	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Tre Mann	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	6	25%	-0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16	0.03	-0.17	0.03	16	58%	-0.01	3	-0.15	6	83%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.25	0.25	0.08	0.18	0.01	17	57%	0.27	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.04
Dyson Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	17	63%	0.16	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.09	0.09	0.13	-0.03	0.01	22	57%	0.09	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Keaton Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	83%	0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mouhamed Gueye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	40%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.03	-0.01	18	53%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Asa Newell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaccharie Risacher	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
V�t Krej?�	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.6	26.0	12.4	26.9	1.2	42.6	135.5
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +47.5%

CHA -14.9%

CHA -19.2%

ATL +32.7%

ATL +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ATL	NBA	CHA	ATL	NBA
this game	15.9	13.7	14.2	112.2	117.7	113.5
season	14.8	13.2		115.1	113.3
opponent	14.4	14.0		113.6	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.7	16.2	15.8	16.8	15.9
ATL	12.7	14.5	13.0	15.0	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mason Plumlee	60	59	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.32	14	-17	31	14.6	17.9	-3.33	14.7	12.3	2.39
Liam McNeeley	60	60	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-5	7	14.7	17.7	-3.07	13.8	13.7	0.07
Sion James	70	67	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.41	14	-17	31	14.6	18.9	-4.30	14.5	11.9	2.59
KJ Simpson	58	58	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.02	-2	-1	-1	15.2	16.8	-1.64	13.1	14.7	-1.61
Collin Sexton	81	80	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.33	4	-7	11	15.1	19.4	-4.23	14.0	12.2	1.79
Kon Knueppel	87	85	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.35	1	-4	5	15.5	18.4	-2.82	13.8	13.2	0.63
Drew Peterson	37	36	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.12	-7	4	-11	16.3	15.6	0.66	13.5	13.9	-0.43
Miles Bridges	91	89	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.43	1	-4	5	15.5	20.0	-4.46	14.1	9.7	4.34
Tre Mann	97	96	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.37	-3	0	-3	16.0	4.0	11.98	13.7	0.0	13.74
Moussa Diabat�	98	96	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.37	-3	0	-3	15.9	0.0	15.86	13.7	0.0	13.74

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
V�t Krej?�	96	98	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	0	3	13.7	0.0	13.74	15.9	0.0	15.86
Jalen Johnson	92	94	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.44	1	2	-1	13.9	9.5	4.42	15.6	21.2	-5.62
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	89	91	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.43	-1	4	-5	14.1	9.7	4.34	15.5	20.0	-4.46
Dyson Daniels	87	88	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.35	0	3	-3	13.7	14.2	-0.53	15.5	18.9	-3.39
Onyeka Okongwu	85	87	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.35	-1	4	-5	13.8	13.2	0.63	15.5	18.4	-2.82
Keaton Wallace	64	66	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.10	6	-3	9	13.1	15.0	-1.84	15.7	16.1	-0.35
Mouhamed Gueye	69	68	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.13	1	2	-1	13.6	14.0	-0.41	15.6	16.4	-0.78
Zaccharie Risacher	57	57	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.09	-2	5	-7	14.2	13.1	1.12	14.9	17.2	-2.34
Asa Newell	14	13	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.03	-7	10	-17	15.2	13.5	1.73	14.8	16.0	-1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.41,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.67,0.75,0.29,0.32,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 102, LAL 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.61,0.54,0.37,0.43,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.55,0.37,0.45,0.73,1	89.1%
MIN 96, DEN 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.35,0.41,0.43,0.33,0.48,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.48,0.45,0.83,1	89.1%
LAC 103, LAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.35,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.82,0.75,0.8,0.91,0.83,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.64,0.47,0.92,1	89.0%