NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	102		Excitement	9.1 [101]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +20.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	106		Comeback	2.4 [516]		LVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): -8.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.00	7	71%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	0	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Doug Christie	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.08,-0.16,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	22	53%	0.07	3	-0.14	5	40%	-0.04
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	9	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.04
Peja Stojakovic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.04,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	8	53%	-0.02	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.06
Vlade Divac	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	16	36%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	20	48%	-0.02	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.06

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.21	0.21	0.07	0.13	-0.01	20	61%	0.24	1	-0.03	11	100%	0.17
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	7	61%	0.11	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.10
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	57%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.04
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	1	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	25	61%	0.13	6	-0.19	17	76%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	564.4	3.6	32.0	19.8	27.3	3.4	-666.5	-15.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +14.8%

LAL +51.4%

SAC -11.2%

SAC -3.5%

SAC -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAL	NBA	SAC	LAL	NBA
this game	15.0	13.9	15.6	102.0	107.1	102.3
season	14.2	15.3		106.6	106.9
opponent	15.4	15.5		99.8	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.1	16.2	15.5	12.8	15.0
LAL	13.9	14.5	14.5	13.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	62	63	0.34	-0.84	1.19	0.17	6	-10	16	15.3	14.5	0.83	14.7	12.7	1.97
Scot Pollard	22	22	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	0	-4	15.2	14.9	0.30	14.4	13.8	0.59
Chris Webber	97	96	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.41	5	-9	14	14.6	29.0	-14.44	14.2	4.7	9.57
Hedo Turkoglu	62	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-1	-2	14.8	15.3	-0.57	13.3	15.0	-1.70
Mike Bibby	85	84	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-4	4	14.6	17.1	-2.52	13.8	14.6	-0.77
Bobby Jackson	31	31	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.10	-9	5	-14	16.6	14.3	2.35	14.1	13.9	0.21
Doug Christie	86	85	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-3	2	14.9	15.4	-0.43	13.9	14.3	-0.39
Peja Stojakovic	42	41	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.17	-9	5	-14	15.3	14.7	0.59	13.9	14.0	-0.16
Lawrence Funderburke	13	12	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.45	-5	1	-6	15.2	15.0	0.28	11.5	14.3	-2.79

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	43	44	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.17	13	-9	22	13.3	14.4	-1.14	15.0	14.9	0.10
Shaquille O'Neal	88	90	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.27	8	-4	12	14.0	13.8	0.15	15.3	11.8	3.54
Kobe Bryant	91	93	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.41	3	1	2	13.9	14.1	-0.19	14.8	18.1	-3.39
Robert Horry	91	91	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.41	0	4	-4	14.0	13.7	0.22	14.7	17.8	-3.06
Devean George	25	24	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.24	2	2	0	13.7	14.0	-0.36	14.9	15.0	-0.10
Rick Fox	76	78	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	1	2	13.7	14.8	-1.09	14.8	15.8	-1.00
Slava Medvedenko	8	9	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	0	4	13.7	14.0	-0.22	17.8	14.7	3.06
Lindsey Hunter	21	20	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.06	0	4	-4	15.5	13.5	1.94	15.2	14.9	0.26
Samaki Walker	9	8	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	9	-14	16.7	13.7	2.99	13.4	15.1	-1.76
Brian Shaw	43	43	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.13	-8	12	-20	13.9	14.0	-0.12	15.3	14.7	0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.61,0.54,0.37,0.43,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.55,0.37,0.45,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 98, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.54,0.38,0.48,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.53,0.36,0.57,0.58,1	91.6%
MIN 100, UTA 107	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.91,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.74,1	91.1%
DEN 117, MIL 120	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.56,0.64,0.46,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.44,0.54,0.45,0.74,1	91.0%