NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	100		Excitement	7.5 [323]		MVP	Al Jefferson (UTA): +33.9%
Utah Jazz	107		Comeback	3.0 [698]		LVP	Derrick Favors (UTA): -19.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Rubio	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.05,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	7	76%	0.12	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	6	57%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Greg Stiemsma	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	9	50%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	9	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01	0.07	-0.06	-0.00	14	61%	0.12	2	-0.10	10	90%	0.04
Chase Budinger	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0	0.05	-0.05	-0.00	11	55%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexey Shved	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.04	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12	0.00	-0.14	-0.02	9	44%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.2,0.27,0.19,0.19,0.34	0.34	0.18	0.17	0.01	27	71%	0.54	5	-0.20	2	100%	0.01
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.14	0.11	0.02	8	94%	0.26	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.06	-0.00	4	87%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	42%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	7	62%	0.06	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.13,-0.22,-0.18	-0.18	0.01	-0.19	0.01	12	53%	-0.07	2	-0.12	6	100%	0.02
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.11	-0.09	-0.00	6	43%	-0.02	5	-0.18	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.5	26.3	15.6	23.4	1.7	38.1	128.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +83.5%

MIN -15.2%

UTA +12.5%

MIN -35.6%

UTA +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	UTA	NBA	MIN	UTA	NBA
this game	15.4	16.6	15.4	111.1	118.9	104.1
season	15.6	16.0		101.3	104.6
opponent	15.1	14.9		105.0	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.8	13.5	17.0	15.4	15.4
UTA	13.7	17.8	17.3	18.2	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Ridnour	44	46	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.10	0	-7	7	16.1	14.7	1.48	16.0	17.3	-1.36
Chris Johnson	13	14	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.03	1	-8	9	14.4	15.5	-1.16	17.5	16.5	1.04
Andrei Kirilenko	44	46	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.16	-6	-1	-5	15.5	15.2	0.33	15.7	17.6	-1.94
Derrick Williams	42	44	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.11	-5	-2	-3	15.6	15.1	0.50	15.7	17.5	-1.75
Ricky Rubio	48	50	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.14	1	-8	9	15.1	15.7	-0.59	16.2	17.2	-0.99
Alexey Shved	36	34	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.20	-7	0	-7	15.2	15.5	-0.31	18.0	15.8	2.21
Dante Cunningham	48	46	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	-5	3	15.1	15.6	-0.50	17.5	15.7	1.75
Greg Stiemsma	75	75	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	-3	-1	15.8	13.2	2.61	16.7	16.3	0.35
Chase Budinger	48	45	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.36	-5	-2	-3	14.8	16.0	-1.21	17.2	16.0	1.20
Jose Juan Barea	52	50	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.35	-8	1	-9	15.1	15.7	-0.62	16.7	16.5	0.27

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Favors	58	59	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.31	16	-9	25	16.6	16.7	-0.05	15.5	15.2	0.23
Randy Foye	69	69	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.27	12	-5	17	16.7	16.5	0.13	16.0	13.4	2.60
Al Jefferson	75	75	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	1	5	16.7	16.3	0.35	15.8	13.2	2.61
Gordon Hayward	65	64	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	4	-1	15.4	19.8	-4.34	15.1	16.0	-0.87
Alec Burks	34	35	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	5	-3	18.4	15.6	2.78	15.5	15.3	0.18
Jamaal Tinsley	15	14	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.04	5	2	3	15.5	16.8	-1.31	12.9	15.8	-2.90
Mo Williams	60	60	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	4	-1	15.6	18.6	-2.92	15.1	15.8	-0.68
Marvin Williams	29	31	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.06	0	7	-7	18.8	15.6	3.15	15.0	15.6	-0.58
Paul Millsap	46	44	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.09	-14	21	-35	16.9	16.3	0.59	15.0	15.8	-0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.91,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 98, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.54,0.38,0.48,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.53,0.36,0.57,0.58,1	92.4%
MIN 89, NYK 93	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.37,0.31,0.23,0.3,0.42,0.33,0.23,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.83,1	92.1%
ATL 86, MIA 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.44,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.83,0.8,0.6,0.54,0.36,0.45,0.84,1	91.4%