NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	89		Excitement	8.3 [210]		MVP	Kurt Thomas (NYK): +23.9%
New York Knicks	93		Comeback	3.9 [434]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -48.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tom Hammonds	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.00	5	60%	0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	13	46%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	9	58%	0.08	3	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	9	50%	0.04	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.11	0.01	-0.11	0.01	9	62%	-0.04	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Joe Smith	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.27	-0.09	-0.18	-0.00	5	36%	-0.22	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.20
Kevin Garnett	-0.48	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.09,-0.22,-0.44,-0.48	-0.21	-0.31	-0.04	17	46%	-0.20	7	-0.28	16	81%	0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.11	0.13	-0.00	8	80%	0.24	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.00	4	83%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	13	56%	0.05	0	0.00	8	100%	0.07
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	3	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	0.01	12	60%	0.10	6	-0.17	1	100%	0.01
Larry Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	-0.02	6	17%	-0.08	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.28,-0.43	-0.43	-0.18	-0.25	-0.01	18	39%	-0.26	4	-0.17	10	60%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	30.3	16.6	26.5	2.3	39.5	142.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +27.9%

NYK +4.6%

MIN -8.9%

NYK +26.1%

NYK +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NYK	NBA	MIN	NYK	NBA
this game	15.2	15.9	15.2	95.7	101.1	101.7
season	15.1	16.1		103.5	100.0
opponent	15.8	15.7		98.8	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.0	15.4	15.2	14.4	15.2
NYK	15.3	18.9	16.1	13.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasho Nesterovic	21	23	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.13	8	-12	20	16.0	15.0	0.99	20.5	14.4	6.10
Anthony Peeler	48	49	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.15	6	-10	16	14.8	15.7	-0.88	15.5	16.4	-0.88
Joe Smith	55	49	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.18	6	-10	16	14.7	15.9	-1.20	16.3	15.4	0.95
Terrell Brandon	71	72	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.35	6	-10	16	15.4	14.8	0.61	16.0	15.4	0.58
Kevin Garnett	78	77	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.33	3	-7	10	15.2	15.7	-0.51	15.6	17.3	-1.63
Tom Hammonds	13	13	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.14	-6	2	-8	16.5	15.0	1.42	14.2	16.2	-2.04
Bobby Jackson	22	20	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	6	-16	14.8	15.4	-0.61	15.4	16.0	-0.58
Malik Sealy	53	52	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-2	0	15.2	15.3	-0.07	15.2	16.9	-1.72
Sam Mitchell	61	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.25	-3	-1	-2	15.3	15.1	0.27	16.4	14.9	1.49
Wally Szczerbiak	25	24	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.11	-11	7	-18	15.4	15.2	0.22	15.2	16.1	-0.88
Dean Garrett	18	19	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.03	-17	13	-30	16.0	15.1	0.95	13.8	16.4	-2.60

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Johnson	56	59	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.44	10	-6	16	16.8	14.5	2.26	15.3	15.1	0.28
Allan Houston	75	76	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.32	7	-3	10	15.7	16.8	-1.06	15.1	15.9	-0.86
Latrell Sprewell	82	84	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.27	3	1	2	16.2	13.4	2.81	15.3	15.0	0.26
Chris Childs	53	52	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.48	-4	8	-12	15.8	16.1	-0.35	14.7	15.9	-1.23
Patrick Ewing	72	70	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.30	2	2	0	15.7	16.8	-1.15	15.3	15.0	0.31
John Wallace	15	15	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	-1	6	14.2	16.2	-2.03	16.1	15.1	0.99
Kurt Thomas	46	47	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.12	5	-1	6	16.0	15.8	0.11	15.3	15.1	0.21
Charlie Ward	45	45	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.17	1	3	-2	15.4	16.4	-0.94	15.7	14.8	0.83
Chris Dudley	16	17	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.05	-9	13	-22	16.6	15.8	0.80	14.6	15.4	-0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.37,0.31,0.23,0.3,0.42,0.33,0.23,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 100, UTA 107	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.91,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.74,1	92.1%
CLE 98, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.54,0.38,0.48,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.53,0.36,0.57,0.58,1	91.8%
WAS 84, IND 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.59,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.68,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.45,0.75,0.73,1	90.8%