inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 96 Excitement8.7 [175] MVPKarl-Anthony Towns (MIN): +29.0%
Denver Nuggets 100 Comeback3.3 [546] LVPPaul Millsap (DEN): -17.8%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns0.290,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.290.120.170.001672%0.373-0.084100%0.02
Taj Gibson0.100,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.10.040.05-0.011547%0.1000.00683%0.03
Gorgui Dieng0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.02-0.01560%0.0600.0000%0.00
Nemanja Bjelica0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.010.010.020.021145%0.0100.0000%0.00
Derrick Rose-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.020.00540%0.041-0.0600%0.00
Jamal Crawford-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.00-0.040.00950%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Andrew Wiggins-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.001236%-0.041-0.0210%-0.01
Tyus Jones-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.03-0.0040%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Jeff Teague-0.150,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.14,-0.15-0.03-0.14-0.011445%0.032-0.18560%-0.02

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.32,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.240.140.08-0.021180%0.312-0.073100%0.02
Jamal Murray0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.190.190.110.08-0.001663%0.211-0.023100%0.07
Mason Plumlee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.010.05-0.02460%0.0810.002100%0.02
Wilson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.060.060.000.06-0.001045%0.0600.002100%0.05
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.011450%0.062-0.0600%0.00
Trey Lyles00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Torrey Craig0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.0020%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Nikola Jokic0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12-0.12-0.08-0.040.002037%-0.062-0.063100%0.03
Paul Millsap0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.08-0.10-0.001236%-0.122-0.06967%-0.08
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.42.829.015.727.62.734.8137.0
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN -17.8%
DEN +20.2%
DEN +40.6%
DEN +6.0%
DEN +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINDENNBAMINDENNBA
this game16.115.514.7104.3111.1107.5
season15.314.7111.8111.2
opponent14.714.4109.9110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN17.213.417.616.816.1
DEN15.514.913.019.215.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Karl-Anthony Towns73710.43-0.931.360.1410-142416.016.7-0.7015.814.31.52
Derrick Rose29280.28-0.781.07-0.0411-152613.817.2-3.3617.814.53.30
Tyus Jones2525-0.16-0.340.17-0.13-1-3215.816.3-0.4515.015.7-0.65
Nemanja Bjelica6464-0.24-0.260.02-0.302-6817.213.73.4215.615.30.23
Jeff Teague6765-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.25-3-1-216.315.80.4515.715.00.65
Jamal Crawford4139-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.36-2-2014.417.5-3.0516.514.81.68
Andrew Wiggins6261-0.670.17-0.84-0.29-139-2217.114.22.9114.617.5-2.96
Taj Gibson7069-0.680.18-0.86-0.42-95-1416.814.12.6215.116.8-1.69
Gorgui Dieng2928-0.710.21-0.92-0.27-1511-2615.316.5-1.1514.016.2-2.19

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Murray65680.69-0.190.880.2515-112615.016.8-1.7816.814.22.54
Torrey Craig32330.440.060.370.3822016.514.91.5814.217.2-2.99
Trey Lyles880.340.160.190.118-41215.715.50.2615.716.2-0.42
Wilson Chandler60620.290.210.080.2613-215.116.3-1.2317.014.42.57
Will Barton75770.270.230.030.35-37-1015.614.90.7716.116.4-0.32
Paul Millsap62630.240.26-0.010.27-15-615.316.1-0.8116.814.72.10
Mason Plumlee43420.170.33-0.170.1413-215.815.30.5415.716.5-0.85
Devin Harris40390.050.45-0.410.16-48-1216.115.11.0115.116.9-1.83
Nikola Jokic65680.020.48-0.45-0.0113-215.415.8-0.3416.016.5-0.44


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.35,0.41,0.43,0.33,0.48,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.48,0.45,0.83,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 93, DEN 990.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.21,0.27,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.54,0.52,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.53,0.41,0.39,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.91,190.7%
NYK 101, NJN 1060.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.23,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.43,0.53,0.42,0.59,0.46,0.66,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.92,190.6%
SAC 102, LAL 1060.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.61,0.54,0.37,0.43,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.55,0.37,0.45,0.73,190.5%