NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	114		Excitement	5.9 [415]		MVP	Aaron Holiday (HOU): +30.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	104		Comeback	1.2 [433]		LVP	Evan Mobley (CLE): -10.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Holiday	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.19	0.13	0.02	7	95%	0.31	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Jabari Smith Jr.	0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	12	54%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Reed Sheppard	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.02	11	55%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alperen Sengun	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.04	0.02	0.04	17	64%	0.12	5	-0.10	10	80%	-0.02
Steven Adams	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.04	-0.02	6	43%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jae'Sean Tate	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amen Thompson	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.04	0.01	14	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.01	-0.04	18	45%	0.07	4	-0.10	8	87%	0.04

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.01	0.17	-0.01	17	58%	0.28	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Craig Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	75%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.02	5	29%	0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Tyrese Proctor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.16	-0.03	0.13	11	83%	0.06	3	-0.06	8	100%	0.03
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	9	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nae'Qwan Tomlin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	10	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	8	39%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Evan Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	13	50%	0.00	3	-0.10	10	40%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	0.1	35.0	14.3	35.5	0.0	33.8	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +30.1%

HOU +10.2%

HOU +8.3%

HOU +1.0%

HOU +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CLE	NBA	HOU	CLE	NBA
this game	16.1	12.6	14.2	112.9	105.1	113.5
season	15.5	13.5		115.9	116.0
opponent	14.5	13.9		111.3	111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.3	15.3	19.6	15.7	16.1
CLE	14.9	11.8	12.9	11.0	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jabari Smith Jr.	89	88	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.16	20	-10	30	15.8	18.5	-2.67	12.9	10.3	2.60
Amen Thompson	99	98	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.21	13	-3	16	16.2	12.5	3.72	12.7	6.0	6.65
Alperen Sengun	101	99	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.21	10	0	10	16.1	0.0	16.15	12.6	0.0	12.59
Aaron Holiday	84	85	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.19	10	0	10	17.0	12.1	4.92	12.7	11.8	0.93
Kevin Durant	94	93	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	6	-2	16.4	13.4	2.92	12.4	15.3	-2.92
Josh Okogie	65	63	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.06	9	1	8	16.0	16.4	-0.37	13.5	11.0	2.45
Steven Adams	63	59	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	7	-4	16.5	15.5	1.04	13.4	11.4	1.91
Reed Sheppard	80	79	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	4	2	16.7	14.2	2.47	13.1	10.7	2.30
Clint Capela	51	50	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	12	-14	17.5	14.8	2.71	13.7	11.4	2.25
Jae'Sean Tate	16	15	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.14	-7	17	-24	18.7	15.7	3.02	13.3	12.5	0.80

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nae'Qwan Tomlin	55	55	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-13	16	13.4	11.6	1.79	17.6	14.4	3.15
Thomas Bryant	8	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-9	8	10.1	12.8	-2.68	16.9	16.1	0.81
Tyrese Proctor	23	22	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.10	-3	-7	4	11.2	13.0	-1.78	17.0	15.9	1.15
Jarrett Allen	82	84	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.29	-2	-8	6	13.0	10.8	2.13	16.8	13.1	3.71
Craig Porter Jr.	80	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.19	-7	-3	-4	12.6	12.5	0.14	16.9	13.1	3.79
Dean Wade	88	91	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.23	-8	-2	-6	13.1	8.4	4.75	16.5	12.8	3.72
Lonzo Ball	98	99	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	-1	-8	12.6	12.0	0.59	16.3	7.0	9.33
Evan Mobley	98	100	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.24	-11	1	-12	12.7	6.0	6.65	16.3	2.0	14.29
Donovan Mitchell	98	100	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.24	-11	1	-12	12.7	6.0	6.65	16.3	2.0	14.29
De'Andre Hunter	89	90	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.13	-21	11	-32	12.9	10.0	2.88	15.9	18.3	-2.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.23,0.16,0.21,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.35,0.22,0.07,0.01,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 126, UTA 118	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.14,0.03,0.02,0,0	94.0%
POR 102, NJN 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.02,0,0	93.5%
SAS 126, ATL 125	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.32,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.25,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.29,0.37,0.27,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.16,0	93.0%