inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 125 Excitement7.4 [138] MVPStephen Curry (GSW): +42.6%
San Antonio Spurs 120 Comeback6.2 [49] LVPDe'Aaron Fox (SAS): -21.9%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry0.430,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.430.310.140.032570%0.451-0.021694%0.07
Jimmy Butler III0.380,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.380.230.160.011278%0.3800.001275%-0.00
Al Horford0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.040.080.01764%0.131-0.0200%0.00
Moses Moody0.100,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.13-0.010.021368%0.1000.002100%0.00
Quinten Post0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Buddy Hield-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.02-0.01440%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Will Richard-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.020.00275%0.073-0.0900%0.00
Gary Payton II-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.010.01450%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Jonathan Kuminga-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.0010%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Brandin Podziemski-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.01743%0.033-0.0900%0.00
Draymond Green-0.200,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.17-0.05-0.011025%-0.074-0.144100%0.02

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Devin Vassell0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.080.07-0.061356%0.2100.001100%0.01
Luke Kornet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.120.010.016100%0.1300.0000%0.00
Julian Champagnie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.010.003100%0.101-0.0400%0.00
Jeremy Sochan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.001150%0.0400.0000%0.00
Stephon Castle0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.07-0.020.031659%0.062-0.05771%0.01
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.01961%0.062-0.0500%0.00
Victor Wembanyama0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.030.032262%0.218-0.216100%0.02
Lindy Waters III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Keldon Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01933%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
De'Aaron Fox0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.13-0.090.001443%-0.046-0.182100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.42.228.315.333.41.249.0152.8
league avg26.32.128.814.629.42.332.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +17.3%
GSW +17.8%
GSW +8.1%
GSW +10.1%
SAS -3.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWSASNBAGSWSASNBA
this game14.012.914.1116.8112.1113.7
season14.714.0112.4117.1
opponent14.313.6112.5110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW15.214.812.713.614.0
SAS13.013.414.510.812.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gary Payton II80800.77-0.271.040.1521-163714.014.2-0.2312.912.60.30
Jimmy Butler III1071070.500.000.500.3550514.00.014.0512.90.012.85
Brandin Podziemski1061070.500.000.500.3550514.15.09.1312.90.012.85
Buddy Hield1031040.500.000.500.268-31114.51.712.7713.15.37.73
Draymond Green78800.450.050.390.0414-92314.612.61.9612.813.0-0.15
Moses Moody84840.430.070.360.227-2914.113.80.2812.514.1-1.63
Al Horford98990.340.160.190.37-16-714.67.96.7212.615.7-3.13
Stephen Curry95960.320.180.140.1750514.212.51.7412.714.4-1.69
Will Richard64640.030.47-0.430.09-27-914.912.72.1812.014.2-2.23
Quinten Post1090.020.48-0.47-0.0423-118.113.64.4711.713.0-1.29
Jonathan Kuminga5050-0.180.68-0.860.03-712-1915.213.12.1313.112.60.51

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeremy Sochan36350.24-0.740.98-0.0811-162712.912.80.0216.013.12.90
Lindy Waters III88-0.02-0.480.460.04-2-3111.712.9-1.1916.913.83.06
Stephon Castle8887-0.09-0.410.32-0.276-111712.215.7-3.4514.213.20.98
Harrison Barnes7475-0.19-0.310.12-0.04-50-512.613.3-0.7014.413.31.05
Keldon Johnson8687-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.10-61-713.510.03.4914.014.2-0.19
Devin Vassell9797-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.24-3-2-112.615.6-3.0314.014.5-0.50
Luke Kornet9594-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.34-2-3112.713.7-0.9214.79.55.13
Julian Champagnie8786-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.42-1-4312.912.80.0014.512.02.55
De'Aaron Fox107107-0.500.00-0.50-0.35-50-512.90.012.8514.00.014.05
Victor Wembanyama107107-0.500.00-0.50-0.35-50-512.90.012.8514.00.014.05


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.62,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.29,0.18,0.19,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.13,0.07,0.16,0.02,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 104, MIA 990.5,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.76,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.79,0.77,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.48,0.55,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.41,0.32,0.41,0.24,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.15,0.01,092.1%
MIA 106, POR 960.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.64,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.7,0.78,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.13,0.02,0.01,0,0,092.1%
PHX 102, CLE 980.5,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.45,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.04,091.9%