NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	102		Excitement	6.6 [465]		MVP	Clifford Robinson (PHX): +23.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Comeback	7.6 [280]		LVP	Andre Miller (CLE): -24.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.06	0.16	-0.02	13	63%	0.25	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15	0.10	0.07	0.02	8	89%	0.20	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	22	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Daniel Santiago	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Tony Delk	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	8	53%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vinny Del Negro	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	6	14%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.20	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.2	-0.21	-0.03	-0.04	22	34%	-0.09	4	-0.12	6	67%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.02	10	71%	0.13	1	-0.04	8	100%	0.06
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.02	4	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trajan Langdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	62%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	7	62%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	16	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	-0.00	10	65%	0.11	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	1	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.2,-0.22,-0.2,-0.24	-0.24	-0.19	-0.07	-0.02	14	42%	-0.07	6	-0.17	10	80%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	32.2	15.7	25.6	2.0	34.2	136.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +23.5%

CLE -7.9%

CLE -1.3%

PHX +36.1%

CLE -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	CLE	NBA	PHX	CLE	NBA
this game	15.1	15.8	15.5	109.7	105.4	100.9
season	14.9	15.3		97.7	98.4
opponent	15.6	15.4		102.6	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.3	16.9	13.5	15.0	15.1
CLE	15.3	17.4	16.4	14.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Delk	56	55	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.37	7	-3	10	14.7	15.7	-0.95	15.4	16.4	-1.03
Jason Kidd	86	85	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.38	5	-1	6	14.6	21.9	-7.28	15.4	20.0	-4.55
Rodney Rogers	43	41	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.29	8	-4	12	14.6	15.6	-0.98	15.2	16.3	-1.06
Shawn Marion	73	71	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	0	4	15.5	13.8	1.69	15.8	15.9	-0.03
Clifford Robinson	68	66	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.44	-2	6	-8	15.2	14.8	0.40	15.6	16.3	-0.70
Chris Dudley	27	31	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.02	7	-3	10	12.6	16.2	-3.57	16.8	15.4	1.40
Daniel Santiago	7	6	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.12	9	-5	14	12.9	15.3	-2.46	17.5	15.7	1.78
Tom Gugliotta	32	34	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	5	-6	15.4	15.0	0.42	16.0	15.7	0.30
Vinny Del Negro	7	8	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	5	-6	21.9	14.6	7.28	20.0	15.4	4.55
Mario Elie	52	55	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	8	-12	15.7	14.3	1.41	16.4	15.1	1.33
Jake Tsakalidis	14	13	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.15	-12	16	-28	18.9	14.5	4.47	14.8	16.0	-1.24

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Traylor	29	28	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.08	1	-5	6	16.7	15.5	1.24	16.4	14.6	1.81
Lamond Murray	40	41	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.32	9	-13	22	15.3	16.2	-0.95	16.3	14.2	2.04
Wesley Person	39	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-3	2	16.3	15.5	0.76	14.4	15.6	-1.15
Bimbo Coles	25	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-1	-2	14.9	16.2	-1.31	14.6	15.3	-0.68
Chris Mihm	50	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.02	-6	2	-8	16.2	15.4	0.78	14.1	16.3	-2.23
Andre Miller	68	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-3	2	16.2	14.9	1.31	15.3	14.6	0.68
Trajan Langdon	54	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.31	-3	-1	-2	15.5	16.3	-0.76	15.6	14.4	1.15
Matt Harpring	83	83	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.34	-5	1	-6	16.0	14.9	1.05	15.0	16.4	-1.42
Clar. Weatherspoon	77	77	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.39	-11	7	-18	15.4	17.7	-2.31	14.9	16.2	-1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.45,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 89, ATL 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.81,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.55,0.48,0.4,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.01,0.03,0,0	93.4%
MIN 106, DEN 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.76,0.66,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.23,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.04,0.02,0	93.2%
SAC 92, UTA 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.65,0.52,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.12,0.28,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.09,0	92.5%