inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 130 Excitement7.4 [267] MVPJarrett Allen (CLE): +13.2%
Miami Heat 116 Comeback11.9 [45] LVPNikola Jovi? (MIA): -17.7%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jarrett Allen0.130,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.060.062064%0.151-0.02786%0.02
Tyrese Proctor0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.030.07-0.031537%0.0600.002100%0.02
Craig Porter Jr.0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.10-0.020.031270%0.102-0.04367%-0.01
Lonzo Ball0.050,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.08-0.010.02879%0.133-0.083100%0.02
Dean Wade0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.02-0.01-0.02757%0.041-0.0100%0.00
Luke Travers0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.03-0.00533%0.0100.002100%0.02
Thomas Bryant0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.00444%0.0100.0010%-0.01
Larry Nance Jr.-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00350%0.011-0.0200%0.00
De'Andre Hunter-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.08-0.040.051368%0.113-0.13580%0.01
Nae'Qwan Tomlin-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.00745%0.011-0.03683%0.01
Sam Merrill-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.080.00-0.011023%-0.0700.002100%0.02

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Davion Mitchell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.060.02-0.041362%0.141-0.0200%0.00
Kel'el Ware0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.120.030.04794%0.141-0.022100%0.01
Norman Powell0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.150.000.051871%0.153-0.052100%0.01
Simone Fontecchio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.07-0.030.01781%0.112-0.082100%0.01
Pelle Larsson0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.00760%0.063-0.091100%0.00
Andrew Wiggins0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.001361%0.075-0.11250%-0.02
Dru Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.00837%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
Jaime Jaquez Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.05-0.021533%-0.061-0.053100%0.02
Nikola Jovi?0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.14-0.04-0.01615%-0.064-0.1110%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.70.028.80.028.40.032.50.0
league avg26.32.028.914.329.62.232.8136.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA -14.9%
CLE +16.9%
CLE +23.5%
CLE +21.1%
CLE +3.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEMIANBACLEMIANBA
this game14.012.314.2120.4104.5113.5
season13.512.8116.0113.3
opponent14.514.5110.4111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE13.812.914.315.014.0
MIA10.912.912.413.212.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nae'Qwan Tomlin46480.81-0.311.110.1622-83013.514.3-0.8013.411.51.88
Craig Porter Jr.1071110.53-0.030.560.0317-32014.10.014.1312.30.012.29
De'Andre Hunter1081110.500.000.500.091401414.00.014.0012.30.012.29
Lonzo Ball78810.430.070.370.081221014.512.61.8912.711.21.49
Dean Wade84850.430.070.370.051311214.611.72.8912.910.32.59
Jarrett Allen85850.410.090.320.12104614.512.32.1512.611.31.23
Tyrese Proctor82840.370.130.240.1386214.014.0-0.0512.411.90.53
Thomas Bryant47500.190.31-0.12-0.0277014.613.51.0913.211.61.59
Luke Travers5858-0.120.62-0.740.11-822-3014.613.41.1912.611.90.73
Sam Merrill6163-0.170.67-0.850.12-1024-3414.413.50.8712.811.71.10
Larry Nance Jr.7578-0.330.83-1.16-0.03-1024-3413.714.8-1.0912.511.80.71

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dru Smith74720.21-0.710.910.007-212811.913.1-1.2714.113.80.33
Nikola Jovi?9389-0.12-0.380.25-0.04-3-11812.113.4-1.3813.715.4-1.72
Simone Fontecchio9591-0.19-0.310.13-0.07-4-10612.212.6-0.3213.815.2-1.47
Jaime Jaquez Jr.9897-0.23-0.270.05-0.05-6-8212.510.52.0714.69.15.47
Pelle Larsson8583-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.12-5-9412.411.80.5814.711.82.81
Kel'el Ware8079-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.07-9-5-412.711.31.3814.911.43.54
Norman Powell9190-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.08-11-3-812.89.92.8514.412.22.20
Davion Mitchell9291-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.06-13-1-1212.810.02.7614.312.41.88
Andrew Wiggins111108-0.500.00-0.50-0.09-140-1412.30.012.2914.00.014.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.76,0.84,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.12,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 105, DEN 870.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.7,0.62,0.48,0.42,0.23,0.31,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,093.1%
SAS 91, UTA 820.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.38,0.48,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.14,0.05,0.01,0,0,092.8%
ORL 115, MIN 970.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.66,0.71,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.74,0.57,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.01,0,0,0,092.7%