NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	91		Excitement	6.7 [482]		MVP	Danny Green (SAS): +10.4%
Utah Jazz	82		Comeback	5.1 [594]		LVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): -30.6%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.08	-0.01	7	57%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.00	9	77%	0.16	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Marco Belinelli	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tiago Splitter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Cory Joseph	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	16	42%	-0.00	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Tony Parker	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	0.02	0.03	18	48%	0.11	5	-0.18	10	60%	-0.04
Manu Ginobili	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	9	45%	0.02	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Kawhi Leonard	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	8	37%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	19	53%	0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Michael Harris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	12	42%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	9	70%	0.06	5	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	12	48%	-0.01	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	0.02	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Diante Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	7	14%	-0.11	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.28,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.20	-0.13	-0.03	23	29%	-0.21	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	1.8	26.7	14.8	28.2	1.7	27.4	121.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +50.3%

SAS +17.3%

UTA -11.4%

SAS +0.8%

UTA -7.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	UTA	NBA	SAS	UTA	NBA
this game	13.9	15.8	15.1	94.8	83.7	105.2
season	15.0	16.2		109.8	102.1
opponent	14.8	15.0		109.6	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.6	14.2	12.4	13.3	13.9
UTA	13.2	16.4	15.8	18.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	60	62	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.39	7	2	5	13.2	15.0	-1.72	16.3	14.9	1.40
Tim Duncan	65	66	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.27	11	-2	13	14.7	12.2	2.56	16.3	14.7	1.57
Tony Parker	73	75	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.24	10	-1	11	14.4	12.3	2.15	16.1	14.8	1.24
Danny Green	47	48	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.06	16	-7	23	13.9	13.9	0.08	15.6	15.9	-0.25
Boris Diaw	58	59	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	-3	15	13.4	14.7	-1.30	15.4	16.3	-0.93
Cory Joseph	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	9	-9	21.0	13.8	7.18	0.0	15.8	-15.78
Aron Baynes	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	9	-9	21.0	13.8	7.18	0.0	15.8	-15.78
Tiago Splitter	51	53	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	10	-11	13.7	14.1	-0.32	15.8	15.7	0.16
Patty Mills	23	23	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.00	-1	10	-11	12.3	14.4	-2.15	14.8	16.1	-1.24
Kawhi Leonard	56	58	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.02	-1	10	-11	15.2	12.0	3.21	15.4	16.4	-1.01
Marco Belinelli	28	28	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	13	-17	12.3	14.6	-2.27	15.7	15.8	-0.09
Jeff Ayres	17	18	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	13	-17	12.5	14.2	-1.66	14.9	16.0	-1.09

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gobert	9	8	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.02	0	-9	9	13.9	16.0	-2.08	11.2	14.1	-2.89
Gordon Hayward	87	85	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-15	21	15.9	15.0	0.87	14.4	10.4	3.99
Michael Harris	8	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-6	3	10.9	16.2	-5.34	10.0	14.2	-4.20
Derrick Favors	72	72	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.19	5	-14	19	15.8	15.8	0.01	14.8	11.2	3.64
John Lucas III	17	17	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-2	-5	16.1	15.7	0.41	13.7	13.9	-0.23
Alec Burks	59	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.26	0	-9	9	15.7	15.8	-0.07	14.4	13.1	1.40
Marvin Williams	49	45	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-2	-5	15.3	16.2	-0.90	13.2	14.5	-1.23
Diante Garrett	39	38	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	2	-13	15.2	16.2	-0.99	12.1	15.1	-3.01
Enes Kanter	63	64	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.24	-13	4	-17	16.8	14.0	2.81	13.8	14.0	-0.20
Richard Jefferson	87	86	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.20	-15	6	-21	16.1	13.5	2.61	14.1	12.1	2.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.38,0.48,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.14,0.05,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 101, BOS 86	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.77,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.34,0.29,0.17,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.0%
CLE 111, IND 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.77,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.04,0,0,0	92.8%
PHI 99, MEM 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.79,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.52,0.38,0.42,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.03,0.17,0	92.8%