NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	105		Excitement	5.7 [600]		MVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): +19.6%
Denver Nuggets	87		Comeback	16.0 [56]		LVP	Paul Millsap (DEN): -13.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Tatum	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.09,0.07,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.08	0.13	0.02	23	52%	0.25	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.05
Jaylen Brown	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.01	0.03	15	61%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Kemba Walker	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.02	0.07	-0.02	15	44%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Romeo Langford	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	3	56%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Robert Williams III	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	6	83%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	11	52%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	64%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Moritz Wagner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carsen Edwards	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Facundo Campazzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.01	-0.01	6	108%	0.18	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
PJ Dozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	6	58%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monte Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.06	6	17%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markus Howard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlatko Cancar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bol Bol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zeke Nnaji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Jokic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	15	46%	0.04	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.01
Michael Porter Jr.	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	23	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	11	48%	-0.02	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	6	25%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	5	20%	-0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	28.5	15.3	26.2	1.6	33.4	131.9
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +30.6%

BOS +18.7%

BOS +4.6%

DEN -2.6%

DEN -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DEN	NBA	BOS	DEN	NBA
this game	14.6	16.2	14.4	112.9	92.6	111.3
season	14.5	15.0		112.8	116.0
opponent	14.4	14.5		112.3	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.1	14.4	15.1	13.7	14.6
DEN	14.9	16.9	16.2	16.8	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Williams	39	41	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.15	22	-4	26	12.8	15.9	-3.14	16.2	16.2	-0.06
Romeo Langford	32	32	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.17	18	0	18	12.8	15.5	-2.66	17.0	15.8	1.16
Robert Williams III	51	52	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.10	17	1	16	15.5	13.5	1.95	16.5	15.8	0.75
Jaylen Brown	68	70	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.09	16	2	14	14.9	13.7	1.25	16.2	16.2	0.05
Jayson Tatum	64	63	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	15	-12	15.2	13.3	1.86	16.8	14.9	1.94
Tristan Thompson	37	38	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	17	-16	12.8	15.8	-2.96	16.5	16.0	0.46
Payton Pritchard	17	17	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.11	6	12	-6	14.6	14.6	0.07	18.5	15.7	2.84
Moritz Wagner	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	15	-12	14.7	14.6	0.08	10.7	16.4	-5.72
Carsen Edwards	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	15	-12	14.7	14.6	0.08	10.7	16.4	-5.72
Aaron Nesmith	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	15	-12	14.7	14.6	0.08	10.7	16.4	-5.72
Semi Ojeleye	16	15	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.15	5	13	-8	14.6	14.6	0.04	17.7	15.9	1.82
Kemba Walker	65	66	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	20	-22	15.0	13.7	1.31	15.1	18.9	-3.83

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Jokic	64	62	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.05	9	-27	36	15.9	16.8	-0.93	15.0	13.7	1.37
Aaron Gordon	60	60	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.10	10	-28	38	15.9	16.6	-0.70	15.7	12.5	3.17
Michael Porter Jr.	68	68	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.04	8	-26	34	15.7	17.5	-1.79	15.4	12.5	2.89
Facundo Campazzo	65	65	0.16	-0.66	0.81	0.13	1	-19	20	15.7	17.4	-1.70	15.0	13.7	1.25
Zeke Nnaji	15	14	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.19	-6	-12	6	17.6	15.9	1.66	17.1	14.1	3.00
Markus Howard	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-15	12	10.7	16.4	-5.72	14.7	14.6	0.08
Vlatko Cancar	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-15	12	10.7	16.4	-5.72	14.7	14.6	0.08
Bol Bol	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-15	12	10.7	16.4	-5.72	14.7	14.6	0.08
Will Barton	69	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-14	10	15.7	17.6	-1.85	14.6	14.5	0.15
JaMychal Green	28	28	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.03	-23	5	-28	17.6	15.6	2.00	12.1	15.6	-3.50
Paul Millsap	22	23	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.04	-23	5	-28	18.5	15.5	2.94	12.0	15.4	-3.44
Monte Morris	36	35	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.09	-23	5	-28	17.3	15.5	1.83	14.2	14.8	-0.58
PJ Dozier	34	33	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	0.02	-30	12	-42	17.2	15.6	1.62	12.4	15.8	-3.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.7,0.62,0.48,0.42,0.23,0.31,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 112, NYK 110	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.73,0.8,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.81,0.85,0.74,0.7,0.53,0.53,0.32,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0	92.9%
MIL 95, OKC 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.83,0.74,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.28,0.19,0.1,0.03,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0	92.2%
CLE 112, PHI 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.52,0.42,0.36,0.19,0.13,0.05,0.05,0,0.02,0	92.0%