inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 95 Excitement5.5 [696] MVPJohn Henson (MIL): +12.7%
Oklahoma City Thunder 89 Comeback6.2 [121] LVPJeremy Lamb (OKC): -17.2%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Henson0.130,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.090.03-0.001961%0.182-0.06875%0.01
Ish Smith0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.000.08-0.01844%0.0900.0000%0.00
JJ Redick0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.080.000.07-0.001052%0.112-0.033100%0.01
Brandon Jennings0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.011461%0.112-0.0600%0.00
Mike Dunleavy0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.06-0.020.021156%0.0300.00367%-0.01
Gustavo Ayon0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.01-0.01944%0.0200.0000%0.00
Monta Ellis-0.020,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.0130%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Ekpe Udoh-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.01340%-0.013-0.07450%-0.02
Marquis Daniels-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.06-0.02530%-0.032-0.0800%0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.040.001853%0.141-0.047100%0.03
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.013100%0.0500.0000%0.00
Daniel Orton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.04-0.000.00371%0.0400.001100%0.00
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.00-0.01667%0.051-0.0100%0.00
Hasheem Thabeet0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.010.002100%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Perry Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.001545%0.031-0.0310%-0.01
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01540%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeAndre Liggins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.030.00250%-0.011-0.05250%-0.00
Ronnie Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.010.00520%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.04-0.00935%-0.051-0.042100%0.02
Jeremy Lamb0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.15-0.03-0.022130%-0.152-0.021100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.72.322.515.422.31.828.0115.9
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +36.2%
MIL +0.8%
MIL +23.2%
OKC -10.5%
MIL +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILOKCNBAMILOKCNBA
this game14.717.315.4104.4100.0104.1
season14.714.8101.6109.3
opponent15.515.3100.6103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL15.314.614.214.714.7
OKC16.719.718.514.717.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marquis Daniels33320.84-0.341.170.3716-102614.914.60.3115.718.2-2.44
Ish Smith48470.80-0.301.100.3316-102615.014.40.6517.017.6-0.58
Gustavo Ayon51490.74-0.240.980.3314-82215.513.71.8517.217.4-0.25
John Henson84830.500.000.500.3260614.615.7-1.0817.415.71.77
JJ Redick67650.430.070.360.227-1814.515.2-0.7317.217.7-0.60
Mike Dunleavy49480.030.47-0.44-0.0942214.914.50.4019.215.14.11
Monta Ellis2222-0.130.63-0.770.04-612-1813.915.0-1.0616.717.5-0.84
Luc Mbah a Moute1111-0.160.66-0.830.10-915-2416.114.51.5715.817.5-1.71
Ekpe Udoh4746-0.240.74-0.98-0.01-814-2214.015.5-1.5217.217.4-0.20
Brandon Jennings4342-0.300.80-1.10-0.01-1016-2614.415.0-0.6517.617.00.58

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hasheem Thabeet36380.37-0.871.23-0.0414-203418.016.91.1015.014.50.54
Russell Westbrook13140.19-0.690.87-0.1110-162616.617.4-0.8215.914.51.44
Serge Ibaka16160.18-0.680.87-0.089-152417.117.4-0.2315.114.60.50
Thabo Sefolosha13130.17-0.670.84-0.099-152416.617.4-0.8215.814.51.32
Ronnie Brewer45460.09-0.590.680.15-2-4218.715.92.8214.215.3-1.14
Reggie Jackson6567-0.24-0.260.02-0.06-60-617.816.11.6315.113.51.65
Perry Jones7575-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.291-7817.019.1-2.0814.316.7-2.47
Derek Fisher3131-0.660.16-0.83-0.16-1711-2818.816.52.2914.614.8-0.20
Jeremy Lamb7678-0.670.17-0.84-0.23-159-2417.416.60.8214.515.8-1.32
DeAndre Liggins3435-0.820.32-1.15-0.36-1610-2615.218.6-3.3614.614.8-0.23
Daniel Orton4142-0.840.34-1.18-0.34-1711-2816.018.4-2.4414.814.70.13


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.83,0.74,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.28,0.19,0.1,0.03,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 110, SAS 960.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0,093.3%
OKC 104, LAC 980.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.68,0.61,0.69,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.63,0.75,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.27,0.06,0.13,0.07,0.04,0,0.01,092.6%
CLE 108, BOS 880.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.28,0.31,0.15,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,092.6%