NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	110		Excitement	6.0 [602]		MVP	Goran Dragic (PHX): +45.1%
San Antonio Spurs	96		Comeback	6.1 [66]		LVP	Tony Parker (SAS): -17.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goran Dragic	0.45	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.3,0.3,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45	0.25	0.24	0.05	13	90%	0.45	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.06	0.01	7	76%	0.17	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Jason Richardson	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.01	0.02	15	70%	0.12	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	6	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	11	69%	0.14	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Jarron Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	14	50%	0.02	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	10	30%	-0.06	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.01	6	92%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.03	0.05	17	73%	0.19	5	-0.09	3	100%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	9	50%	0.05	0	0.00	12	42%	-0.10
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	11	55%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	7	38%	-0.07	1	-0.00	7	86%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	9	20%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.02	17	26%	-0.13	2	-0.05	4	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	2.8	36.0	19.8	28.1	2.8	31.2	148.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +65.4%

PHX +9.2%

SAS -12.7%

SAS -8.8%

SAS -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	15.0	16.3	15.3	118.3	105.5	106.0
season	14.4	15.9		113.5	108.2
opponent	15.1	15.5		103.4	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.6	13.2	12.8	19.0	15.0
SAS	16.4	16.8	16.7	15.3	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	61	61	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.12	15	-1	16	15.9	13.2	2.64	16.3	16.4	-0.09
Jared Dudley	49	47	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	2	10	16.5	13.3	3.15	14.9	17.9	-2.99
Leandro Barbosa	37	36	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	2	10	15.5	14.6	0.89	16.2	16.4	-0.24
Goran Dragic	33	33	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.14	10	4	6	17.2	13.7	3.46	14.8	17.2	-2.34
Grant Hill	68	67	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	2	10	15.4	13.9	1.50	16.7	15.3	1.42
Jason Richardson	65	62	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.07	6	8	-2	13.3	19.0	-5.70	17.1	14.8	2.32
Steve Nash	65	64	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.14	7	7	0	14.3	16.6	-2.28	16.4	16.3	0.12
Amar'e Stoudemire	64	62	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.00	1	13	-12	13.7	17.7	-3.99	16.8	15.3	1.56
Lou Amundson	6	6	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.02	-1	15	-16	13.7	15.1	-1.40	16.3	16.3	-0.01
Jarron Collins	17	17	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	18	-22	14.6	15.1	-0.41	17.5	16.1	1.46

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrett Temple	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-14	14	8.0	16.7	-8.72	19.7	14.8	4.84
Matt Bonner	37	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.07	-1	-13	12	14.2	17.8	-3.53	15.7	14.5	1.19
Richard Jefferson	57	57	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.11	-9	-5	-4	16.3	16.4	-0.07	14.5	15.8	-1.35
DeJuan Blair	22	21	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-11	8	15.0	16.8	-1.83	15.2	14.9	0.34
Manu Ginobili	68	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-7	0	16.8	14.9	1.91	15.5	13.2	2.29
Tim Duncan	69	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	-3	-8	16.8	15.0	1.83	14.9	15.2	-0.34
Antonio McDyess	54	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.02	-13	-1	-12	17.8	14.2	3.53	14.5	15.7	-1.19
Tony Parker	74	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.14	-11	-3	-8	16.6	15.4	1.21	14.8	15.9	-1.18
George Hill	70	72	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.13	-15	1	-16	16.1	17.0	-0.92	14.9	15.3	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 108, BOS 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.28,0.31,0.15,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.9%
MIL 95, OKC 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.83,0.74,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.28,0.19,0.1,0.03,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.3%
TOR 116, MEM 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.68,0.71,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.43,0.57,0.43,0.27,0.18,0.12,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.0%