NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	112		Excitement	6.7 [507]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): +32.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	108		Comeback	5.6 [588]		LVP	JR Smith (CLE): -15.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0.33	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.22	0.16	0.05	27	65%	0.35	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Kevin Love	0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.17	0.07	0.01	13	71%	0.25	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.06
James Jones	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	2	150%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.06	0.02	8	60%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
LeBron James	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.03,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	19	55%	0.12	5	-0.12	9	78%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Liggins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JR Smith	-0.15	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.17	-0.02	-0.04	11	0%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.06	0.01	6	79%	0.13	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	13	46%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	9	67%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	9	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.05	9	56%	0.07	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.04	18	54%	0.13	3	-0.12	5	60%	-0.00
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.06	0.02	11	64%	0.05	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
TJ McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.02	-0.04	0.08	10	62%	-0.01	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	1.6	28.6	16.3	26.9	1.8	35.2	136.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -2.5%

CLE +21.7%

CLE +5.1%

CLE +20.5%

CLE +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHI	NBA	CLE	PHI	NBA
this game	14.7	14.9	14.8	114.3	112.5	107.7
season	14.9	14.5		113.5	101.9
opponent	14.4	14.7		107.6	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.8	14.2	14.0	15.1	14.7
PHI	13.0	15.2	14.3	17.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Thompson	74	72	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.54	5	-1	6	15.4	12.9	2.48	15.3	13.9	1.38
Richard Jefferson	58	56	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.41	6	-2	8	14.2	15.6	-1.40	15.1	14.8	0.25
Kyrie Irving	82	80	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.47	-1	5	-6	15.1	13.1	2.01	15.2	13.5	1.74
JR Smith	77	75	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.48	-2	6	-8	15.2	13.2	1.98	15.1	14.2	0.91
Kevin Love	56	58	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.00	10	-6	16	14.2	15.5	-1.32	15.1	14.7	0.48
LeBron James	87	84	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.23	2	2	0	14.8	14.2	0.63	14.2	20.2	-5.96
DeAndre Liggins	16	16	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.09	5	-1	6	13.1	15.1	-2.01	13.5	15.2	-1.74
Mike Dunleavy	17	17	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.05	-2	6	-8	13.5	15.0	-1.47	16.2	14.7	1.49
James Jones	23	22	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.09	-3	7	-10	14.8	14.7	0.11	14.3	15.1	-0.88

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Covington	39	42	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.19	12	-16	28	14.1	15.5	-1.42	16.1	13.7	2.40
Gerald Henderson	65	63	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.31	10	-14	24	14.9	15.0	-0.12	15.2	13.9	1.29
Sergio Rodriguez	55	59	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.36	9	-13	22	13.9	16.3	-2.35	15.7	13.3	2.47
Ersan Ilyasova	56	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.30	4	-8	12	14.2	16.0	-1.89	15.7	13.4	2.27
Jahlil Okafor	44	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-3	2	15.2	14.7	0.43	13.9	15.5	-1.68
Hollis Thompson	39	40	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	4	-12	14.7	15.1	-0.39	13.8	15.4	-1.60
Joel Embiid	52	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-1	-2	14.7	15.2	-0.43	15.5	13.9	1.68
Dario Saric	40	40	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.08	-8	4	-12	16.0	14.2	1.89	13.4	15.7	-2.27
TJ McConnell	41	39	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.02	-13	9	-22	16.3	13.9	2.35	13.3	15.7	-2.47
Nik Stauskas	49	51	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.21	-22	18	-40	15.9	14.0	1.86	13.8	15.8	-2.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.52,0.42,0.36,0.19,0.13,0.05,0.05,0,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 99, MIN 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.32,0.19,0.14,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	93.4%
PHX 88, LAC 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.21,0.2,0.13,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0	93.1%
SAS 102, DEN 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.64,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.48,0.32,0.31,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.01,0,0	92.8%