NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	115		Excitement	6.8 [481]		MVP	Cole Anthony (ORL): +25.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	97		Comeback	7.5 [76]		LVP	Jalen Suggs (ORL): -9.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cole Anthony	0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.14	0.14	0.03	17	69%	0.37	4	-0.12	11	82%	0.00
Franz Wagner	0.22	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.19	0.03	0.01	18	68%	0.22	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Terrence Ross	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	83%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chuma Okeke	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	9	40%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Wendell Carter Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.03	0.04	8	71%	0.07	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Moritz Wagner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Bamba	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.04	-0.01	7	50%	0.05	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
R.J. Hampton	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	27%	-0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Jalen Suggs	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	14	47%	0.00	5	-0.10	4	100%	0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	22	50%	0.12	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	7	67%	0.06	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.05	-0.02	17	56%	0.10	2	-0.09	7	43%	-0.09
Nathan Knight	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Bolmaro	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	7	33%	-0.00	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Jordan McLaughlin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.01	-0.02	16	34%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	8	19%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	1.6	30.5	15.3	25.8	1.8	34.2	138.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +37.1%

ORL +20.3%

ORL +0.8%

MIN -1.6%

MIN -6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	MIN	NBA	ORL	MIN	NBA
this game	14.3	14.2	14.5	115.0	95.1	110.8
season	14.4	13.9		103.4	112.6
opponent	14.4	14.4		110.6	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.3	13.0	16.2	15.0	14.3
MIN	13.3	14.2	15.1	14.4	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chuma Okeke	43	42	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.11	14	4	10	12.8	15.4	-2.55	15.8	13.1	2.65
Moritz Wagner	12	10	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.06	15	3	12	14.7	14.2	0.43	17.8	13.8	3.96
Cole Anthony	78	80	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.06	19	-1	20	14.4	13.7	0.72	14.5	13.2	1.33
Terrence Ross	61	59	0.48	0.01	0.47	0.10	13	5	8	12.9	16.5	-3.56	15.3	12.8	2.48
R.J. Hampton	31	33	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.12	4	14	-10	13.5	14.7	-1.22	14.5	14.1	0.47
Franz Wagner	63	64	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.22	14	4	10	14.7	13.6	1.02	14.1	14.5	-0.44
Jalen Suggs	67	70	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.03	4	14	-10	15.4	12.0	3.37	13.0	16.9	-3.86
Mo Bamba	71	74	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.08	4	14	-10	15.2	12.0	3.23	13.0	17.4	-4.42
Wendell Carter Jr.	74	78	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.15	3	15	-12	14.2	14.6	-0.44	14.1	14.7	-0.63

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D'Angelo Russell	39	37	0.32	-0.82	1.14	-0.12	15	-33	48	12.3	15.4	-3.11	14.4	14.2	0.14
Josh Okogie	28	26	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.01	6	-24	30	13.2	14.6	-1.39	14.3	14.3	0.02
Jaden McDaniels	36	34	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-18	18	13.1	14.8	-1.77	15.9	13.5	2.37
Nathan Knight	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-19	20	10.5	14.3	-3.80	22.0	14.1	7.87
Leandro Bolmaro	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-19	20	10.5	14.3	-3.80	22.0	14.1	7.87
Anthony Edwards	76	75	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.25	-11	-7	-4	14.4	13.8	0.61	14.5	13.6	0.97
Jarred Vanderbilt	61	60	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.08	-10	-8	-2	13.5	15.4	-1.91	15.4	12.6	2.78
Naz Reid	30	30	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	-8	-2	15.1	13.9	1.24	12.6	15.0	-2.37
Taurean Prince	47	46	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	-3	-12	14.6	13.9	0.65	13.8	14.7	-0.94
Malik Beasley	68	70	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.04	-20	2	-22	14.4	14.0	0.38	13.6	16.0	-2.44
Karl-Anthony Towns	78	77	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	0.14	-24	6	-30	14.8	12.3	2.53	14.2	14.4	-0.19
Jordan McLaughlin	43	41	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.06	-23	5	-28	16.5	12.6	3.87	13.2	15.1	-1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.66,0.71,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.74,0.57,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 91, UTA 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.38,0.48,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.14,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	93.0%
PHI 99, MEM 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.79,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.52,0.38,0.42,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.03,0.17,0	92.9%
MIA 112, MIL 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.7,0.57,0.43,0.38,0.23,0.1,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0	92.2%