NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	112		Excitement	9.2 [56]		MVP	Desmond Bane (ORL): +39.5%
Orlando Magic	115		Comeback	5.0 [88]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (POR): -23.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerami Grant	0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,0.38	0.01	0.37	0.00	17	45%	0.42	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.03
Shaedon Sharpe	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.2	0.23	0.01	0.04	18	72%	0.22	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.10
Deni Avdija	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.12	0.09	0.06	0.02	18	59%	0.19	2	-0.06	10	90%	0.05
Robert Williams III	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	87%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sidy Cissoko	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Duop Reath	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toumani Camara	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	9	42%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Donovan Clingan	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Murray	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.23	-0.05	-0.18	-0.00	14	46%	0.01	3	-0.24	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Bane	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.39	0.39	0.02	0.36	-0.02	19	54%	0.46	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Paolo Banchero	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.27	0.27	0.11	0.15	-0.01	18	61%	0.34	2	-0.06	10	60%	-0.41
Franz Wagner	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	-0.00	10	68%	0.17	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.05
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.01	-0.04	12	73%	0.17	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	64%	0.04	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	8	40%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Jett Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan da Silva	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	0.1	33.8	13.4	27.8	0.0	42.4	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +43.7%

POR -17.7%

ORL +9.4%

ORL +15.0%

POR -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	ORL	NBA	POR	ORL	NBA
this game	13.9	15.1	14.1	113.1	115.0	113.7
season	13.5	13.9		112.1	114.6
opponent	14.2	13.9		110.5	116.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.9	15.1	15.1	10.9	13.9
ORL	16.3	14.3	14.9	14.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Williams III	69	71	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.08	2	-5	7	13.7	14.2	-0.49	16.3	12.0	4.25
Deni Avdija	98	99	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.09	0	-3	3	14.0	0.0	14.00	15.2	1.0	14.19
Donovan Clingan	94	96	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.08	-2	-1	-1	13.9	12.2	1.75	15.4	6.0	9.43
Shaedon Sharpe	97	98	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-1	-1	13.9	9.5	4.45	15.2	6.0	9.23
Duop Reath	6	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	1	-5	17.0	13.7	3.34	18.3	14.8	3.48
Jrue Holiday	84	86	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.49	10	-13	23	13.7	14.6	-0.87	15.5	12.6	2.88
Toumani Camara	80	81	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.55	12	-15	27	13.4	15.6	-2.19	15.7	12.2	3.57
Sidy Cissoko	59	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-3	3	15.0	12.2	2.83	15.6	14.2	1.45
Kris Murray	76	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	3	-9	14.5	11.6	2.93	16.2	11.5	4.67
Jerami Grant	99	100	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	0	-3	13.9	0.0	13.86	15.0	0.0	15.05

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wendell Carter Jr.	83	82	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.45	4	-1	5	15.7	11.8	3.96	13.7	14.4	-0.67
Jett Howard	76	75	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.15	12	-9	21	15.7	12.8	2.92	14.5	11.8	2.67
Desmond Bane	100	99	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	0	3	15.0	0.0	15.05	13.9	0.0	13.86
Franz Wagner	100	99	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	0	3	15.0	0.0	15.05	13.9	0.0	13.86
Paolo Banchero	90	89	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.41	-4	7	-11	15.4	11.9	3.50	13.6	16.0	-2.38
Tristan da Silva	61	59	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	-1	5	15.7	14.1	1.55	15.3	11.7	3.54
Jonathan Isaac	99	97	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.07	2	1	1	15.1	11.0	4.09	13.9	9.5	4.45
Tyus Jones	11	10	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	-1	5	18.5	14.6	3.83	14.7	13.8	0.94
Goga Bitadze	87	86	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	-0.25	-7	10	-17	15.7	10.5	5.19	13.8	14.0	-0.16
Anthony Black	87	86	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	-0.25	-7	10	-17	15.7	10.5	5.19	13.8	14.0	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.79,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.73,0.81,0.94,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 85, TOR 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.89,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.9,1,1	95.2%
ATL 104, MIL 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.74,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.87,0.93,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.99,0.98,1,1	93.7%
PHX 100, SAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.78,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.77,0.98,0.95,1	93.4%