NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	100		Excitement	6.8 [455]		MVP	Rodney Rogers (PHX): +16.1%
Sacramento Kings	103		Comeback	1.4 [1082]		LVP	Anfernee Hardaway (PHX): -18.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Rogers	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16	0.10	0.06	-0.00	12	80%	0.24	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03	0.12	-0.02	0.06	22	67%	0.13	3	-0.10	5	80%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	0.00	-0.03	-0.02	20	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dan Majerle	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Bo Outlaw	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	7	0%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.18,-0.17	-0.08	-0.07	0.03	10	36%	-0.10	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	13	39%	-0.08	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Christie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	12	62%	0.18	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	15	56%	0.10	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.04
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	56%	0.02	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	19	56%	0.05	3	-0.12	12	83%	0.03
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.03	20	48%	-0.04	1	-0.03	12	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.6	2.5	25.9	15.6	26.4	2.5	32.5	125.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +21.8%

SAC +27.4%

SAC +5.0%

PHX -6.9%

SAC +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAC	NBA	PHX	SAC	NBA
this game	14.3	14.9	15.6	101.0	105.1	102.3
season	15.1	14.2		101.0	106.6
opponent	15.5	15.8		99.6	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.6	13.5	14.6	13.6	14.3
SAC	15.7	14.7	14.8	14.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Majerle	22	21	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	0	-3	13.9	14.4	-0.49	14.7	15.0	-0.36
Jake Tsakalidis	31	31	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.04	-3	0	-3	14.5	14.2	0.37	15.4	14.7	0.64
John Wallace	27	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	1	-5	13.8	14.5	-0.71	14.5	15.1	-0.59
Tony Delk	42	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-4	5	13.5	14.8	-1.29	14.0	15.8	-1.80
Bo Outlaw	46	45	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	3	-9	15.3	13.4	1.89	15.2	14.7	0.46
Rodney Rogers	67	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.42	2	-5	7	14.3	14.2	0.06	14.7	15.6	-0.91
Stephon Marbury	91	90	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.47	2	-5	7	14.3	14.4	-0.09	15.4	10.2	5.12
Shawn Marion	91	90	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.43	0	-3	3	14.3	14.4	-0.09	15.4	10.2	5.12
Anfernee Hardaway	78	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.32	-4	1	-5	14.3	14.3	-0.05	14.7	15.8	-1.12

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	90	91	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.39	6	-3	9	15.0	14.4	0.63	14.3	14.1	0.18
Bobby Jackson	82	83	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.32	5	-2	7	14.8	15.5	-0.66	14.0	15.6	-1.59
Doug Christie	83	83	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.38	2	1	1	14.9	15.1	-0.22	14.6	12.6	2.06
Peja Stojakovic	95	95	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.48	-3	6	-9	15.2	6.7	8.54	14.2	17.5	-3.34
Scot Pollard	56	56	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.21	3	0	3	15.7	13.9	1.83	14.7	13.8	0.89
Hedo Turkoglu	54	55	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.33	-2	5	-7	14.5	15.5	-1.04	13.9	14.8	-0.90
Lawrence Funderburke	11	12	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.04	3	0	3	12.3	15.3	-3.01	15.2	14.2	1.09
Gerald Wallace	19	20	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	2	-1	14.6	15.0	-0.46	14.0	14.4	-0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.78,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.77,0.98,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 89, HOU 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.88,0.77,0.84,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.77,0.84,0.96,0.98,1	93.2%
LAL 103, POR 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	93.2%
DEN 88, CHA 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.78,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.97,0.99,1	93.1%