NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	89		Excitement	6.6 [453]		MVP	Yao Ming (HOU): +16.6%
Houston Rockets	96		Comeback	1.8 [1005]		LVP	Luis Scola (HOU): -15.6%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Watson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	8	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	10	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	60%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.06	-0.02	8	44%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	16	47%	0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	7	28%	-0.07	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.05
Jeff Green	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	17	41%	-0.01	4	-0.13	3	33%	-0.02
Kevin Durant	-0.14	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	13	40%	-0.02	4	-0.12	4	75%	0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.05	0.01	19	64%	0.22	2	-0.05	9	67%	-0.01
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	-0.00	4	67%	0.09	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.04
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	9	39%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	15	50%	0.06	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	0.03	12	57%	0.02	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Rafer Alston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	17	32%	-0.05	1	-0.05	4	50%	0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	6	0%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.5	30.4	15.4	23.6	1.7	34.4	133.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +7.9%

HOU +12.4%

HOU +15.1%

HOU +16.4%

SEA -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	HOU	NBA	SEA	HOU	NBA
this game	14.6	16.1	15.4	94.7	102.1	105.7
season	14.5	16.2		99.1	104.6
opponent	15.2	15.0		100.3	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.4	14.1	16.1	14.7	14.6
HOU	17.3	17.8	13.4	16.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johan Petro	21	20	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.00	2	-9	11	12.5	15.2	-2.70	15.9	16.1	-0.14
Kurt Thomas	56	58	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.27	6	-13	19	14.7	14.4	0.30	16.4	15.6	0.82
Damien Wilkins	25	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.07	-5	-2	-3	16.2	14.0	2.16	14.2	16.8	-2.53
Luke Ridnour	46	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-8	9	14.3	14.9	-0.61	15.3	16.7	-1.40
Jeff Green	66	66	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.31	2	-9	11	14.9	13.8	1.12	16.8	14.2	2.63
Earl Watson	48	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	1	-9	14.9	14.3	0.61	16.7	15.3	1.40
Kevin Durant	69	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-5	3	14.0	16.2	-2.16	16.8	14.2	2.53
Nick Collison	48	49	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.09	-9	2	-11	15.1	14.0	1.12	16.5	15.6	0.89
Wally Szczerbiak	52	51	-0.41	-0.10	-0.31	-0.20	-7	0	-7	14.2	15.0	-0.81	15.0	17.3	-2.33
Chris Wilcox	39	38	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.01	-15	8	-23	14.8	14.4	0.33	15.2	16.7	-1.52

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yao Ming	72	72	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.19	17	-10	27	16.5	14.5	1.98	15.0	13.3	1.64
Rafer Alston	81	82	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.29	7	0	7	15.7	18.2	-2.51	14.8	12.9	1.90
Shane Battier	71	71	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.16	11	-4	15	15.7	17.1	-1.41	14.3	15.6	-1.31
Tracy McGrady	60	61	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.29	6	1	5	15.6	16.8	-1.19	14.3	15.1	-0.84
Luis Scola	51	53	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.25	0	7	-7	15.3	17.0	-1.77	14.4	14.8	-0.41
Charles Hayes	29	28	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	3	1	16.4	15.9	0.46	15.1	14.3	0.76
Bonzi Wells	54	52	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.15	-3	10	-13	16.2	15.9	0.24	15.0	14.0	1.04
Aaron Brooks	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	7	-7	18.2	15.7	2.51	12.9	14.8	-1.90
Luther Head	11	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	10	-13	16.2	16.0	0.13	13.2	14.8	-1.61
Carl Landry	28	27	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	11	-15	17.6	15.4	2.15	14.6	14.6	0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.88,0.77,0.84,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.77,0.84,0.96,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 91, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.97,0.93,1,1,1	93.8%
MIN 88, NJN 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.97,0.97,1,1	93.4%
BOS 89, MIL 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.77,0.79,0.94,0.93,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.3%