NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	114		Excitement	5.8 [78]		MVP	John Collins (LAC): +19.9%
LA Clippers	103		Comeback	1.1 [85]		LVP	James Harden (LAC): -18.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Williams	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.02	0.01	9	83%	0.16	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Dillon Brooks	0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.03	0.02	6	84%	0.15	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Collin Gillespie	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.01	-0.05	13	46%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Royce O'Neale	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.02	0.04	8	75%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Dunn	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grayson Allen	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	12	58%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nick Richards	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Goodwin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Oso Ighodaro	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Green	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	19	49%	0.06	5	-0.12	5	100%	0.02

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.16	0.05	0.00	12	76%	0.20	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ivica Zubac	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	12	81%	0.15	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.03	7	64%	0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
James Harden	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.06	0.02	15	38%	-0.07	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.2	28.8	0.0	37.4	0.0	30.1	0.0
league avg	26.2	2.3	28.6	14.8	29.1	2.3	32.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +5.0%

PHX +13.3%

PHX +28.7%

PHX +1.3%

PHX +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAC	NBA	PHX	LAC	NBA
this game	14.3	16.8	13.7	120.0	114.4	110.7
season	13.3	15.5		110.1	110.4
opponent	13.4	14.3		114.6	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.0	12.7	14.5	16.1	14.3
LAC	17.0	16.8	17.6	15.9	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Booker	95	90	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.20	11	0	11	14.3	0.0	14.31	16.8	0.0	16.83
Royce O'Neale	87	84	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.13	13	-2	15	14.1	16.5	-2.40	16.8	17.0	-0.18
Mark Williams	88	83	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.18	10	1	9	14.2	15.6	-1.37	16.6	20.0	-3.43
Ryan Dunn	80	77	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.13	11	0	11	14.1	15.4	-1.30	17.1	15.4	1.69
Dillon Brooks	75	73	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.17	6	5	1	14.4	13.9	0.51	16.3	19.1	-2.74
Collin Gillespie	83	80	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.15	5	6	-1	14.2	14.8	-0.60	17.0	15.1	1.95
Grayson Allen	75	72	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	10	-9	14.5	13.5	0.96	16.0	20.0	-3.96
Oso Ighodaro	23	23	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.03	6	5	1	14.0	14.4	-0.35	17.0	16.8	0.22
Jalen Green	23	23	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.05	6	5	1	14.0	14.4	-0.35	17.0	16.8	0.22
Jordan Goodwin	46	46	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.16	-6	17	-23	14.6	14.0	0.59	16.6	17.1	-0.55
Nick Richards	43	43	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.22	-10	21	-31	14.8	13.9	0.89	16.4	17.2	-0.84

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bradley Beal	41	40	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-15	19	15.7	17.8	-2.16	13.4	15.0	-1.56
Derrick Jones Jr.	65	67	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	-8	5	16.9	16.6	0.27	13.5	16.3	-2.81
Brook Lopez	49	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.10	-3	-8	5	17.3	16.2	1.13	14.4	14.2	0.12
John Collins	82	85	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.20	0	-11	11	16.5	20.2	-3.75	14.7	11.2	3.47
Kris Dunn	70	74	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.14	-2	-9	7	16.1	19.2	-3.11	14.6	13.3	1.25
Cam Christie	69	71	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-6	1	17.1	15.9	1.21	13.7	16.1	-2.38
James Harden	88	93	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.19	-11	0	-11	16.7	22.0	-5.28	14.2	19.0	-4.80
Ivica Zubac	71	75	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.12	-16	5	-21	16.5	18.3	-1.81	14.0	15.5	-1.58
Nicolas Batum	64	68	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.06	-18	7	-25	16.3	18.0	-1.69	14.1	14.9	-0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.42,0.51,0.41,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.17,0.24,0.11,0.15,0.28,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.07,0.1,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 99, CHI 77	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.09,0.17,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.6%
DEN 111, WAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.33,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.02,0	93.2%
CHA 106, ORL 100	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.23,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0.05,0	93.2%