NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	114		Excitement	5.8 [544]		MVP	John Collins (LAC): +19.9%
LA Clippers	103		Comeback	1.1 [424]		LVP	James Harden (LAC): -18.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Williams	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.02	0.01	9	83%	0.16	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Dillon Brooks	0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.03	0.02	6	84%	0.15	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Collin Gillespie	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.01	-0.05	13	46%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Royce O'Neale	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.02	0.04	8	75%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Dunn	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grayson Allen	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	12	58%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nick Richards	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Goodwin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Oso Ighodaro	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Green	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	19	49%	0.06	5	-0.12	5	100%	0.02

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.16	0.05	0.00	12	76%	0.20	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ivica Zubac	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	12	81%	0.15	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.03	7	64%	0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
James Harden	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.06	0.02	15	38%	-0.07	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.2	28.8	0.0	37.4	0.0	30.1	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +5.0%

PHX +13.3%

PHX +28.7%

PHX +1.3%

PHX +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAC	NBA	PHX	LAC	NBA
this game	14.8	17.0	14.2	123.9	115.7	113.4
season	14.4	15.0		112.6	114.5
opponent	14.3	14.6		114.2	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.0	13.8	14.5	16.8	14.8
LAC	17.0	17.5	17.6	15.9	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Booker	92	89	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.20	11	0	11	14.8	0.0	14.77	17.0	0.0	17.02
Royce O'Neale	84	83	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.13	13	-2	15	14.6	16.5	-1.89	17.0	17.0	0.02
Mark Williams	85	82	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.18	10	1	9	14.7	15.6	-0.87	16.8	20.0	-3.23
Ryan Dunn	78	76	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.13	11	0	11	14.5	16.5	-2.04	17.3	15.4	1.92
Dillon Brooks	73	72	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.17	6	5	1	14.8	14.6	0.18	16.5	19.1	-2.52
Collin Gillespie	81	79	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.15	5	6	-1	14.6	16.2	-1.60	17.3	15.1	2.17
Grayson Allen	73	71	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	10	-9	14.9	14.3	0.64	16.3	20.0	-3.73
Oso Ighodaro	23	23	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.03	6	5	1	14.0	15.0	-0.97	17.0	17.0	-0.03
Jalen Green	23	23	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.05	6	5	1	14.0	15.0	-0.97	17.0	17.0	-0.03
Jordan Goodwin	45	45	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.16	-6	17	-23	14.9	14.6	0.32	16.9	17.1	-0.18
Nick Richards	42	42	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.22	-10	21	-31	15.1	14.5	0.68	16.8	17.2	-0.45

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bradley Beal	40	39	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-15	19	16.0	17.8	-1.77	13.7	15.5	-1.78
Derrick Jones Jr.	64	65	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	-8	5	17.2	16.6	0.53	13.9	16.9	-3.00
Brook Lopez	49	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.10	-3	-8	5	17.3	16.6	0.72	14.4	15.3	-0.90
John Collins	81	83	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.20	0	-11	11	16.7	20.2	-3.55	15.0	12.4	2.58
Kris Dunn	69	72	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.14	-2	-9	7	16.4	19.2	-2.87	15.0	14.0	0.99
Cam Christie	68	69	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-6	1	17.4	15.9	1.46	14.1	16.8	-2.68
James Harden	87	90	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.19	-11	0	-11	16.9	22.0	-5.09	14.7	19.0	-4.32
Ivica Zubac	70	72	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.12	-16	5	-21	16.7	18.3	-1.58	14.6	15.5	-0.99
Nicolas Batum	63	65	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.06	-18	7	-25	16.6	18.0	-1.44	14.7	14.9	-0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.42,0.51,0.41,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.17,0.24,0.11,0.15,0.28,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.07,0.1,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 99, CHI 77	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.09,0.17,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.6%
DEN 111, WAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.33,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.02,0	93.2%
CHA 106, ORL 100	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.23,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0.05,0	93.2%