NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	106		Excitement	5.5 [703]		MVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): +9.9%
Orlando Magic	100		Comeback	1.2 [537]		LVP	Arron Afflalo (ORL): -12.0%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	16	61%	0.11	1	-0.01	9	78%	-0.01
Jeff Taylor	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	1	150%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.03	-0.03	12	47%	0.06	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Jeff Adrien	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	-0.01	-0.03	5	60%	0.09	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Gerald Henderson	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.02	11	71%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Ramon Sessions	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	13	44%	0.05	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	7	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	4	40%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jameer Nelson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	17	61%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	9	62%	0.13	4	-0.08	3	67%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	8	61%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	67%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.00	6	71%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	7	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeQuan Jones	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	70%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	5	29%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.04
Arron Afflalo	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.06	0.05	20	49%	-0.04	3	-0.08	7	86%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.3	29.4	16.3	23.1	1.6	44.5	140.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +15.2%

CHA +10.6%

CHA +14.6%

CHA +7.0%

CHA +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ORL	NBA	CHA	ORL	NBA
this game	15.5	15.5	15.4	112.8	108.7	104.1
season	15.6	15.5		99.9	100.3
opponent	15.3	15.4		107.7	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.3	15.2	14.4	16.9	15.5
ORL	18.2	16.1	15.6	12.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brendan Haywood	57	57	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.32	8	-2	10	15.2	15.9	-0.67	15.5	15.5	-0.01
Ramon Sessions	57	57	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.28	4	2	2	15.5	15.4	0.17	15.7	15.3	0.41
Hakim Warrick	64	64	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.17	6	0	6	15.2	16.0	-0.80	14.1	18.7	-4.55
Kemba Walker	72	70	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.31	0	6	-6	15.6	15.0	0.54	14.5	18.8	-4.29
Jeff Taylor	38	35	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.34	-3	9	-12	15.7	15.3	0.38	14.9	15.9	-1.06
Gerald Henderson	43	43	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.03	8	-2	10	14.7	16.1	-1.31	15.5	15.5	-0.04
Ben Gordon	27	26	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.00	6	0	6	15.3	15.5	-0.17	17.7	14.7	3.04
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	46	46	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.02	5	1	4	15.5	15.4	0.13	15.8	15.2	0.67
Jeff Adrien	30	28	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.16	0	6	-6	16.0	15.2	0.80	18.7	14.1	4.55
Bismack Biyombo	36	34	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.06	-4	10	-14	16.1	15.0	1.10	15.9	15.3	0.68

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle O'Quinn	4	5	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-8	10	24.5	15.1	9.40	11.8	15.7	-3.86
DeQuan Jones	42	41	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-4	2	15.6	15.5	0.11	15.0	15.8	-0.85
Andrew Nicholson	33	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	-3	0	17.2	14.6	2.56	15.2	15.6	-0.44
Josh McRoberts	20	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-2	-2	15.0	15.6	-0.59	14.6	15.7	-1.12
E'Twaun Moore	26	30	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	0	-6	15.2	15.6	-0.44	14.5	15.9	-1.41
Jameer Nelson	72	73	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.25	-1	-5	4	15.6	15.1	0.53	16.0	13.6	2.37
Glen Davis	46	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-5	4	14.9	16.1	-1.15	16.9	14.1	2.75
Nikola Vucevic	80	79	-0.41	-0.10	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-2	-2	15.0	18.8	-3.82	15.4	15.9	-0.57
JJ Redick	59	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	-1	-4	15.5	15.6	-0.15	15.7	15.0	0.66
Arron Afflalo	78	78	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	0	-6	15.3	16.5	-1.17	15.3	16.3	-1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.23,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 101, TOR 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.14,0.17,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.23,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	94.1%
ORL 109, PHI 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0	94.1%
PHI 101, NOH 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.19,0.28,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.12,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	93.8%