NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	109		Excitement	5.3 [749]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (ORL): +21.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	93		Comeback	1.4 [1091]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): -14.0%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.05	0.06	12	80%	0.22	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Matt Barnes	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.02	0.03	6	100%	0.13	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Vince Carter	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	11	57%	0.08	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	6	71%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	7	71%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.01	11	68%	0.14	4	-0.08	12	42%	-0.11
JJ Redick	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	0.00	-0.01	10	25%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.02	7	76%	0.13	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.00	0.03	15	64%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.00	14	64%	0.13	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.03	9	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	11	32%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	6	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	6	0%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	10	33%	-0.05	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.2	2.4	26.6	15.6	26.4	2.0	31.2	135.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +63.8%

PHI -2.6%

PHI -9.1%

PHI -0.1%

PHI -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.9	16.6	15.3	122.5	105.7	106.0
season	15.4	15.1		110.1	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.9		108.4	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.8	14.8	15.6	17.4	15.9
PHI	16.2	18.6	17.1	14.5	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	40	37	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.02	16	0	16	14.9	16.8	-1.85	16.4	16.7	-0.34
Rashard Lewis	71	71	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.01	14	2	12	16.1	15.5	0.56	16.7	16.3	0.38
Vince Carter	58	59	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.04	14	2	12	16.0	15.9	0.11	17.0	15.8	1.21
Jameer Nelson	57	57	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.09	15	1	14	16.2	15.4	0.84	16.3	17.2	-0.91
Mickael Pietrus	37	36	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.11	7	9	-2	15.5	16.3	-0.83	17.5	16.0	1.57
Dwight Howard	63	63	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.01	8	8	0	16.6	14.3	2.37	16.5	16.9	-0.44
Matt Barnes	51	51	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.08	9	7	2	16.2	15.7	0.50	15.9	17.6	-1.67
Jason Williams	32	31	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	15	-14	15.4	16.2	-0.84	17.2	16.3	0.91
JJ Redick	31	29	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	14	-12	15.9	16.0	-0.11	15.8	17.0	-1.21
Brandon Bass	5	6	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.06	-6	22	-28	15.2	16.0	-0.79	18.7	16.5	2.22

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	55	55	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-12	8	16.4	17.0	-0.59	17.0	14.2	2.81
Elton Brand	69	70	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.06	-8	-8	0	16.3	17.6	-1.31	16.6	13.5	3.07
Jason Kapono	47	49	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	-7	-2	16.1	17.1	-0.97	15.4	16.6	-1.24
Andre Iguodala	68	70	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	-8	0	15.9	19.1	-3.30	16.5	14.1	2.40
Willie Green	32	31	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	-6	-4	19.0	15.2	3.77	14.5	16.7	-2.19
Marreese Speights	23	24	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-8	0	18.2	16.0	2.19	13.5	16.9	-3.40
Jrue Holiday	83	83	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-9	2	16.3	20.8	-4.45	16.2	12.0	4.23
Jason Smith	26	25	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.16	-8	-8	0	17.3	16.3	1.00	14.8	16.4	-1.59
Rodney Carney	37	38	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.09	-18	2	-20	16.4	16.7	-0.34	15.8	16.0	-0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 108, SAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.15,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
HOU 99, UTA 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.22,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.17,0.28,0.38,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
DAL 108, DEN 96	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.4,0.36,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.2,0.19,0.28,0.18,0.24,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%