NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	108		Excitement	4.5 [949]		MVP	Buddy Hield (SAC): +18.7%
Sacramento Kings	99		Comeback	1.4 [1046]		LVP	Frank Mason (SAC): -7.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.17	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.04	-0.01	22	64%	0.20	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.02	-0.06	10	71%	0.17	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	8	74%	0.12	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Dejounte Murray	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.04	-0.02	11	54%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Patty Mills	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	4	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	11	45%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Rudy Gay	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.05	0.02	17	67%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.16	0.01	0.04	6	125%	0.13	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	6	29%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.07	18	56%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	6	58%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	0.04	11	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	13	50%	0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Frank Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	19%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.4	25.4	14.4	18.2	3.4	26.4	112.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +31.4%

SAS +4.3%

SAC -1.6%

SAS +13.2%

SAS +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	SAC	NBA	SAS	SAC	NBA
this game	15.5	16.0	14.7	117.4	108.8	107.5
season	15.5	15.4		106.7	102.9
opponent	14.7	14.5		110.1	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.3	15.5	17.5	14.8	15.5
SAC	17.8	15.8	14.6	15.9	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patty Mills	42	42	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.14	12	-3	15	14.4	16.4	-2.04	15.9	16.1	-0.24
LaMarcus Aldridge	74	74	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.24	4	5	-1	15.7	14.5	1.23	15.4	18.4	-2.98
Dejounte Murray	48	48	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.19	5	4	1	14.0	17.1	-3.07	15.8	16.2	-0.42
Manu Ginobili	41	41	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.14	6	3	3	14.1	16.6	-2.47	16.3	15.7	0.55
Pau Gasol	61	60	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.23	1	8	-7	15.1	16.3	-1.16	16.3	15.5	0.82
Rudy Gay	31	31	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.03	6	3	3	15.0	15.8	-0.79	16.7	15.6	1.09
Davis Bertans	17	15	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.02	7	2	5	17.6	15.0	2.65	15.8	16.0	-0.23
Kyle Anderson	52	52	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.10	3	6	-3	16.3	14.4	1.84	15.8	16.2	-0.33
Tony Parker	44	43	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	5	-1	17.1	14.0	3.07	16.2	15.8	0.42
Bryn Forbes	50	49	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	12	-15	16.4	14.4	2.04	16.1	15.9	0.24

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	60	60	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.23	3	-12	15	14.9	18.0	-3.10	15.6	15.2	0.41
Justin Jackson	15	16	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	-4	-1	17.5	15.7	1.85	16.6	15.2	1.37
George Hill	65	65	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.26	3	-12	15	15.3	17.6	-2.28	15.6	15.2	0.38
Malachi Richardson	17	17	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.00	-6	-3	-3	18.7	15.4	3.34	16.5	15.3	1.20
Willie Cauley-Stein	60	60	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.20	1	-10	11	15.2	17.6	-2.41	15.9	14.8	1.09
Garrett Temple	61	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-7	5	15.7	16.5	-0.76	15.1	16.3	-1.16
Buddy Hield	62	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	0	-9	15.6	16.8	-1.23	15.1	16.3	-1.25
Kosta Koufos	33	35	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	2	-13	17.9	14.9	3.06	14.6	16.0	-1.39
Frank Mason	29	31	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-11	2	-13	17.4	15.3	2.04	15.3	15.6	-0.35
Bogdan Bogdanovic	53	53	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.17	-8	-1	-7	16.4	15.4	0.93	15.7	15.2	0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.15,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 94, POR 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.8%
WAS 124, POR 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.18,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.19,0.13,0.17,0.25,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0	94.7%
IND 109, BKN 97	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0,0,0,0	94.5%