NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	124		Excitement	4.9 [669]		MVP	Nick Young (WAS): +36.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	109		Comeback	1.6 [66]		LVP	Raymond Felton (POR): -6.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0.37	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.31	0.09	0.03	17	92%	0.39	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
John Wall	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.03	14	78%	0.23	5	-0.10	9	89%	0.02
JaVale McGee	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.02	13	56%	0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Jordan Crawford	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.02	16	62%	0.07	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Shelvin Mack	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Singleton	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Maurice Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.00	-0.03	24	61%	0.22	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	-0.00	0.06	14	62%	0.07	2	-0.05	12	92%	0.03
Marcus Camby	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	10	59%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Elliot Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	44%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	40%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	13	58%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nolan Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.8	30.2	15.7	25.2	2.7	33.2	132.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +57.9%

POR -6.7%

WAS +6.3%

POR -11.4%

WAS +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	POR	NBA	WAS	POR	NBA
this game	15.2	15.0	15.6	130.5	113.5	102.8
season	15.0	15.7		99.5	104.1
opponent	15.4	15.7		104.7	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.9	13.5	16.8	15.5	15.2
POR	15.1	17.0	13.9	13.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Crawford	60	61	0.67	-0.17	0.83	-0.04	24	-9	33	14.6	16.2	-1.57	15.0	15.0	-0.03
Jan Vesely	58	58	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.17	8	7	1	14.7	15.9	-1.21	14.7	15.3	-0.60
John Wall	81	80	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	4	7	15.6	12.9	2.72	14.6	16.6	-1.97
Nick Young	78	79	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.06	8	7	1	15.5	13.9	1.58	14.7	16.1	-1.38
JaVale McGee	66	65	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.02	7	8	-1	15.4	14.7	0.75	15.2	14.6	0.59
Chris Singleton	31	32	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	9	-3	16.7	14.5	2.22	16.4	14.2	2.19
Rashard Lewis	35	36	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	12	-9	13.6	16.1	-2.50	14.7	15.1	-0.41
Shelvin Mack	14	16	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	11	-7	12.9	15.6	-2.72	16.6	14.6	1.97
Maurice Evans	7	8	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	14	-13	13.1	15.3	-2.20	17.7	14.7	3.02
Trevor Booker	45	45	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.10	3	12	-9	16.2	14.2	2.02	14.1	15.7	-1.59

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Craig Smith	19	18	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-19	23	14.8	15.0	-0.17	16.2	14.9	1.29
LaMarcus Aldridge	3	4	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-14	13	16.7	14.9	1.74	19.2	15.0	4.25
Elliot Williams	6	5	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-14	13	15.5	14.9	0.56	14.4	15.2	-0.82
Raymond Felton	55	55	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-16	17	14.6	15.5	-0.93	15.7	14.5	1.22
Marcus Camby	71	69	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-11	7	14.7	15.8	-1.16	15.6	14.2	1.41
Nolan Smith	12	10	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-10	5	17.1	14.7	2.40	11.5	15.6	-4.11
Gerald Wallace	85	85	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-13	11	15.0	14.9	0.08	15.5	12.5	2.99
Nicolas Batum	83	83	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	-3	-9	14.6	17.5	-2.87	15.6	12.5	3.07
Kurt Thomas	25	26	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.07	-11	-4	-7	15.8	14.7	1.16	14.2	15.6	-1.41
Wesley Matthews	74	73	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.01	-18	3	-21	14.9	15.1	-0.14	14.7	16.8	-2.07
Jamal Crawford	47	47	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	0.11	-26	11	-37	15.5	14.5	1.04	14.2	16.1	-1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.18,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.19,0.13,0.17,0.25,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 119, CHA 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
ORL 102, CHA 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.08,0.14,0.15,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0	94.7%
SAS 108, SAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.15,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%