NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	99		Excitement	4.4 [958]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): +27.8%
Utah Jazz	85		Comeback	1.2 [559]		LVP	Scott Padgett (HOU): -14.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0.28	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.25	0.04	0.01	21	76%	0.28	0	0.00	16	69%	-0.00
Jon Barry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	5	70%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	10	53%	0.01	0	0.00	10	80%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	11	65%	0.07	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0	50%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02
David Wesley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	8	55%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Bob Sura	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	60%	0.02	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.01	12	74%	0.14	3	-0.06	10	90%	0.03
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	117%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.00	0.05	12	69%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ben Handlogten	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Curtis Borchardt	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	11	48%	-0.00	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	10	33%	-0.04	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	7	29%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	-0.02	5	29%	-0.04	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	6	43%	-0.05	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.7	28.2	14.8	29.1	1.8	29.0	129.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +27.2%

HOU +13.4%

HOU +4.2%

HOU +14.2%

UTA -9.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	UTA	NBA	HOU	UTA	NBA
this game	15.7	17.2	15.5	112.5	97.7	104.0
season	16.0	16.7		104.2	102.3
opponent	15.1	15.8		106.7	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.9	14.1	15.0	19.0	15.7
UTA	18.7	19.3	15.0	16.0	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Barry	46	47	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.05	22	-8	30	16.2	15.3	0.89	17.0	17.4	-0.38
Clar. Weatherspoon	37	39	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.03	10	4	6	14.7	16.5	-1.81	17.4	17.1	0.30
Mike James	47	45	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.01	9	5	4	16.3	15.0	1.32	17.5	16.9	0.61
Dikembe Mutombo	35	33	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.03	8	6	2	16.1	15.5	0.69	18.4	16.5	1.93
Yao Ming	53	54	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.06	6	8	-2	15.5	16.1	-0.69	16.5	18.4	-1.93
Bob Sura	41	42	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.08	5	9	-4	15.0	16.3	-1.32	16.9	17.5	-0.61
Tracy McGrady	71	69	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	8	-2	15.9	15.1	0.83	16.5	19.9	-3.40
Scott Padgett	38	35	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	12	-10	15.8	15.7	0.06	17.7	16.8	0.92
Ryan Bowen	20	20	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.05	4	10	-6	17.2	15.3	1.91	18.1	16.9	1.24
David Wesley	52	51	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.12	-2	16	-18	15.3	16.4	-1.07	17.4	16.9	0.57

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Snyder	52	54	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-14	14	16.4	18.4	-2.02	16.1	15.1	0.95
Ben Handlogten	8	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-14	14	22.9	16.6	6.25	15.9	15.7	0.16
Mehmet Okur	68	67	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-15	16	16.1	21.0	-4.87	16.3	14.0	2.33
Keith McLeod	60	61	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.21	5	-19	24	16.3	19.1	-2.83	15.4	16.4	-0.93
Kris Humphries	33	34	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-15	16	16.8	17.4	-0.61	15.1	16.1	-1.09
Jarron Collins	25	26	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-11	8	18.2	16.8	1.47	15.4	15.9	-0.49
Curtis Borchardt	9	10	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	-4	-6	20.1	16.9	3.25	13.3	16.0	-2.74
Matt Harpring	68	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-6	-2	16.5	19.7	-3.18	15.7	15.7	-0.01
Howard Eisley	27	27	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.12	-19	5	-24	19.1	16.3	2.83	16.4	15.4	0.93
Gordan Giricek	38	37	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.11	-14	0	-14	18.5	16.2	2.32	15.0	16.3	-1.25
Raja Bell	47	47	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	0.05	-23	9	-32	17.8	16.5	1.24	16.3	15.1	1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.22,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.17,0.28,0.38,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 107, DET 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.25,0.34,0.23,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0	95.6%
ORL 109, PHI 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0	94.3%
HOU 110, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.41,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.36,0.33,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0	94.0%