NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	107		Excitement	5.6 [701]		MVP	Leandro Barbosa (PHX): +16.5%
Detroit Pistons	97		Comeback	1.2 [612]		LVP	Allen Iverson (DET): -12.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.06	0.00	11	77%	0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0.11	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	-0.01	16	58%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Grant Hill	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	13	58%	0.12	4	-0.12	5	80%	-0.00
Lou Amundson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	1	50%	0.00	3	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	16	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.01
Steve Nash	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	-0.04	0.05	12	52%	-0.02	2	-0.06	5	80%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.01	0.02	19	67%	0.17	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	11	57%	0.05	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Walter Herrmann	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	9	61%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	5	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	6	14%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	22	45%	-0.05	3	-0.08	12	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	1.0	30.8	18.8	28.1	2.8	38.3	147.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +34.7%

DET -1.6%

PHX +3.9%

PHX +11.5%

PHX +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DET	NBA	PHX	DET	NBA
this game	13.2	16.8	15.5	111.5	101.0	106.4
season	14.1	16.9		112.1	104.9
opponent	15.7	15.5		106.2	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	10.8	15.0	14.6	12.7	13.2
DET	18.0	16.9	16.7	15.6	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	67	67	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.14	9	1	8	12.8	14.2	-1.45	17.1	16.1	1.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	76	76	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.18	7	3	4	12.7	15.0	-2.34	17.2	15.1	2.09
Leandro Barbosa	44	45	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	4	2	13.7	12.7	1.02	16.9	16.7	0.21
Matt Barnes	38	38	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.02	10	0	10	13.3	13.1	0.20	15.5	17.7	-2.16
Grant Hill	76	75	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.18	4	6	-2	12.7	15.2	-2.53	16.8	16.9	-0.07
Jason Richardson	66	67	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	1	8	12.5	14.8	-2.38	17.2	15.8	1.40
Lou Amundson	40	40	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.10	6	4	2	13.1	13.3	-0.21	16.0	17.4	-1.38
Shaquille O'Neal	65	65	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.19	2	8	-6	14.4	10.7	3.67	17.0	16.4	0.61
Goran Dragic	8	7	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.05	-3	13	-16	20.0	12.6	7.42	14.4	17.0	-2.56

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	7	8	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-11	12	12.1	17.2	-5.03	15.9	13.0	2.92
Walter Herrmann	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-6	2	7.5	17.0	-9.50	3.5	13.4	-9.90
Arron Afflalo	16	18	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	-6	2	15.4	17.1	-1.64	12.4	13.4	-0.93
Kwame Brown	38	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-6	2	16.9	16.7	0.15	13.3	13.1	0.16
Jason Maxiell	17	15	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-6	2	18.9	16.4	2.53	11.2	13.6	-2.37
Rodney Stuckey	60	58	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.12	-4	-6	2	17.4	15.7	1.68	12.4	14.4	-2.02
Rasheed Wallace	65	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	-4	-2	16.8	16.9	-0.15	13.5	12.5	0.98
Richard Hamilton	63	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	-2	-6	16.4	17.6	-1.27	13.2	13.2	0.02
Antonio McDyess	56	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.33	-2	-8	6	17.1	16.4	0.65	13.5	12.8	0.68
Allen Iverson	82	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.35	-3	-7	4	17.1	15.1	2.03	13.4	11.9	1.57
Tayshaun Prince	74	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.10	-12	2	-14	16.6	17.4	-0.73	13.6	11.9	1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.25,0.34,0.23,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 99, UTA 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.22,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.17,0.28,0.38,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
HOU 110, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.41,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.36,0.33,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0	94.2%
ORL 109, PHI 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0	94.2%