NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	110		Excitement	5.4 [756]		MVP	Eric Gordon (HOU): +19.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	99		Comeback	1.2 [1029]		LVP	Jason Terry (MIL): -6.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.11	0.07	-0.02	12	69%	0.21	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	3	150%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,0,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.03	-0.05	20	55%	0.20	5	-0.11	7	100%	0.03
Trevor Ariza	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.05	9	47%	0.08	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	12	55%	0.06	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Tarik Black	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	7	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	10	20%	-0.10
Gerald Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	10	35%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	6	79%	0.08	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sterling Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.04	-0.01	12	62%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	13	60%	0.06	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	11	54%	0.03	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.05	0.03	20	61%	0.12	6	-0.15	9	67%	-0.01
Jabari Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	12	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.3	25.8	14.7	28.5	2.3	35.5	132.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +43.5%

MIL -1.1%

HOU +5.3%

MIL -1.1%

HOU +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIL	NBA	HOU	MIL	NBA
this game	14.5	15.0	14.7	112.2	102.1	107.5
season	14.6	14.3		112.8	108.5
opponent	15.4	14.8		108.9	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.4	13.7	14.6	16.5	14.5
MIL	14.8	15.1	16.0	14.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
PJ Tucker	68	67	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.07	21	-10	31	14.7	14.1	0.61	15.7	13.5	2.15
Chris Paul	65	63	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.11	11	0	11	15.5	12.5	3.02	16.0	13.2	2.79
Trevor Ariza	74	74	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	0	11	14.3	15.3	-1.02	14.5	16.7	-2.14
Eric Gordon	70	70	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	2	7	13.6	16.7	-3.12	14.7	15.9	-1.15
James Harden	74	71	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.16	5	6	-1	14.6	14.3	0.30	14.1	17.5	-3.44
Luc Mbah a Moute	60	63	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.15	3	8	-5	13.5	16.2	-2.67	15.0	15.1	-0.19
Clint Capela	35	34	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	8	-5	16.5	13.4	3.06	15.5	14.8	0.69
Gerald Green	25	25	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	7	-3	14.8	14.4	0.32	16.6	14.5	2.13
Tarik Black	19	18	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	0.07	-12	23	-35	13.7	14.7	-1.04	13.3	15.4	-2.14

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Henson	37	37	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-10	9	16.2	14.3	1.93	16.5	13.3	3.20
Jason Terry	61	63	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.31	6	-17	23	14.9	15.3	-0.45	14.0	15.4	-1.32
Sterling Brown	52	53	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.20	2	-13	15	14.3	15.8	-1.54	15.4	13.5	1.91
Jabari Parker	54	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-5	-1	15.6	14.2	1.42	12.8	16.5	-3.64
Eric Bledsoe	70	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.06	-17	6	-23	15.7	13.1	2.59	14.5	14.6	-0.11
Tony Snell	51	51	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.03	-17	6	-23	15.3	14.8	0.49	15.0	14.0	0.96
Khris Middleton	83	85	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.16	-11	0	-11	14.4	18.5	-4.07	14.5	14.6	-0.11
Giannis Antetokounmpo	77	80	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	0	-11	14.4	17.2	-2.81	14.2	15.7	-1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.41,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.36,0.33,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 97, LAC 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.27,0.39,0.34,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.3%
PHX 107, DET 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.25,0.34,0.23,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0	94.2%
SAS 106, HOU 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.27,0.34,0.27,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.09,0	94.0%