NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	106		Excitement	5.5 [733]		MVP	Eric Gordon (HOU): +16.0%
Houston Rockets	100		Comeback	1.5 [718]		LVP	James Harden (HOU): -17.5%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.04	-0.00	7	86%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.01	9	70%	0.12	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.01	16	59%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	10	54%	0.08	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.03
David Lee	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Danny Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	13	50%	0.07	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.20	-0.02	0.02	16	84%	0.20	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	9	60%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Ennis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.02	13	54%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
KJ McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	5	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.17	-0.01	-0.04	13	20%	-0.10	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.11,-0.09,-0.17	-0.17	-0.06	-0.09	0.02	18	53%	0.00	7	-0.18	11	82%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	34.1	15.6	26.4	2.4	34.6	139.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +58.2%

HOU -1.3%

HOU -11.3%

SAS +4.4%

HOU -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	HOU	NBA	SAS	HOU	NBA
this game	15.5	15.2	14.8	111.6	107.5	107.7
season	15.4	13.7		110.1	113.2
opponent	14.9	14.8		108.1	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.2	15.3	15.7	15.7	15.5
HOU	14.8	16.8	13.6	15.7	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	62	64	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.28	8	-2	10	15.0	16.3	-1.27	15.4	14.7	0.64
David Lee	41	41	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	-8	22	15.0	15.8	-0.83	15.5	14.9	0.58
Jonathon Simmons	32	31	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.00	12	-6	18	14.2	16.1	-1.89	15.0	15.2	-0.19
Patty Mills	43	41	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	-3	12	14.0	16.7	-2.69	15.1	15.2	-0.03
Kawhi Leonard	74	72	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.26	1	5	-4	15.9	14.0	1.95	15.5	14.0	1.44
Manu Ginobili	33	31	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.09	5	1	4	13.9	16.3	-2.44	14.5	15.5	-0.92
Tony Parker	52	52	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.26	-3	9	-12	16.7	14.0	2.69	15.2	15.1	0.03
Danny Green	54	53	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.31	-6	12	-18	15.9	15.0	0.92	15.0	15.4	-0.46
Dewayne Dedmon	15	13	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	6	-6	17.4	15.1	2.29	15.1	15.2	-0.10
LaMarcus Aldridge	69	67	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.26	-10	16	-26	16.3	13.3	3.04	14.9	15.7	-0.79

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clint Capela	48	47	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.13	3	-9	12	15.3	15.0	0.36	16.9	14.0	2.89
Tyler Ennis	17	17	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.09	-7	1	-8	16.3	14.9	1.39	16.6	15.2	1.43
KJ McDaniels	18	20	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	-1	-4	15.9	15.0	0.90	16.5	15.2	1.36
Eric Gordon	61	62	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.25	1	-7	8	15.0	15.6	-0.61	16.1	14.2	1.89
Ryan Anderson	71	73	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.38	5	-11	16	15.5	14.2	1.22	16.0	13.9	2.10
Corey Brewer	32	33	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	3	-12	15.6	15.0	0.61	14.2	16.1	-1.89
Sam Dekker	23	24	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.02	-11	5	-16	14.1	15.5	-1.37	13.9	16.0	-2.08
Trevor Ariza	74	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-7	8	15.0	15.7	-0.66	15.2	16.4	-1.16
James Harden	76	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.41	1	-7	8	14.9	16.3	-1.39	15.2	16.6	-1.43
Nene	45	48	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.19	-9	3	-12	15.0	15.3	-0.36	14.0	16.9	-2.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.27,0.34,0.27,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 102, HOU 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.23,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
PHI 96, SEA 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.24,0.32,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.01,0.02,0.02,0	94.0%
DAL 106, NOH 91	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%