inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 102 Excitement4.4 [921] MVPBruce Bowen (SAS): +9.6%
Houston Rockets 78 Comeback1.7 [794] LVPSteve Francis (HOU): -15.6%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bruce Bowen0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.02-0.01875%0.121-0.0200%0.00
Tim Duncan0.050,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.070.010.031465%0.071-0.026100%0.04
Danny Ferry0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.00-0.00280%0.0300.001100%0.00
Tony Parker0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.000.021059%0.0200.00250%-0.01
David Robinson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01771%0.062-0.04771%-0.01
Steven Smith0.010,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.000.01965%0.042-0.032100%0.01
Jason Hart0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.01450%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Cherokee Parks0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mark Bryant0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malik Rose-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.03941%-0.011-0.01475%-0.00
Antonio Daniels-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.050.000.08570%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Charles Smith-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.10-0.01-0.03430%-0.013-0.07250%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Collier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.010.02775%0.0600.002100%0.01
Cuttino Mobley0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.06-0.010.022155%0.051-0.022100%0.01
Dan Langhi0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.00367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Terence Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Oscar Torres00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tierre Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eddie Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.05-0.01-0.05721%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kelvin Cato0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.010.01250%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Kevin Willis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.020.00362%0.011-0.04250%-0.01
Kenny Thomas0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.020.011040%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Moochie Norris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.02333%-0.033-0.0300%0.00
Steve Francis0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.16-0.03-0.031836%-0.122-0.04956%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.01.826.015.829.32.326.5126.7
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +30.2%
SAS +10.7%
SAS +3.6%
SAS +2.9%
SAS +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASHOUNBASASHOUNBA
this game18.016.915.6124.494.0102.3
season15.816.8104.3100.9
opponent15.215.7106.498.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.618.018.620.218.0
HOU18.018.015.915.816.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Duncan60600.460.040.42-0.01168817.619.1-1.5216.817.2-0.45
Tony Parker59590.370.130.23-0.041410418.317.40.8817.415.61.84
Danny Ferry25270.340.160.170.07915-618.717.70.9415.617.5-1.87
Malik Rose44430.310.190.12-0.071311218.717.31.4217.216.50.66
Bruce Bowen55540.290.210.09-0.091311218.417.31.1418.214.53.70
David Robinson51530.260.240.030.06717-1017.818.4-0.5817.415.91.50
Charles Smith26280.180.32-0.14-0.231410419.517.42.1015.217.7-2.53
Jason Hart23240.130.37-0.23-0.161014-417.418.3-0.8815.617.4-1.84
Steven Smith43420.120.38-0.270.03321-1816.719.4-2.6917.616.21.38
Antonio Daniels15150.070.43-0.35-0.19915-616.718.3-1.5815.717.1-1.41
Mark Bryant550.000.50-0.50-0.23816-820.817.82.9614.217.1-2.86
Cherokee Parks45-0.030.53-0.57-0.15420-1616.218.1-1.8712.617.2-4.57

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Oscar Torres430.00-0.500.500.18-6-181214.217.0-2.7819.018.01.01
Tierre Brown430.00-0.500.500.18-6-181214.217.0-2.7819.018.01.01
Kelvin Cato1618-0.11-0.390.290.01-4-201617.716.71.0617.118.3-1.17
Terence Morris2018-0.12-0.380.250.20-11-13217.616.70.9318.817.80.97
Jason Collier3939-0.13-0.370.240.34-16-8-817.216.70.4918.617.51.03
Dan Langhi4241-0.17-0.330.15-0.09-3-211817.016.80.2216.719.3-2.59
Eddie Griffin3433-0.20-0.300.090.09-10-14416.517.1-0.6119.217.22.04
Kevin Willis2018-0.24-0.260.03-0.12-4-201614.917.5-2.5618.118.00.04
Moochie Norris3335-0.24-0.260.020.08-11-13216.617.1-0.4219.417.02.40
Kenny Thomas5655-0.36-0.14-0.220.11-16-8-817.615.52.0917.419.3-1.95
Steve Francis7273-0.44-0.06-0.380.00-15-9-616.718.3-1.5917.918.9-0.97
Cuttino Mobley7574-0.49-0.01-0.480.04-18-6-1217.115.02.0917.820.1-2.33


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.23,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 106, NOH 910.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%
HOU 102, SAC 800.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.19,0.23,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.0%
TOR 108, PHI 980.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,094.9%