NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	97		Excitement	4.6 [902]		MVP	Josh Smith (ATL): +14.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	80		Comeback	1.1 [972]		LVP	Marcus Camby (LAC): -14.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Smith	0.14	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.06	0.02	15	68%	0.22	4	-0.08	8	75%	-0.01
Ronald Murray	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.15	0.04	0.07	9	85%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	17	52%	0.13	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.03	-0.04	9	55%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Mike Bibby	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	10	42%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Acie Law	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othello Hunter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Maurice Evans	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Thornton	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.02	0.02	16	61%	0.13	0	0.00	9	78%	0.02
Cheikh Samb	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	15	50%	0.07	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	13	58%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	5	67%	0.05	4	-0.07	2	50%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	-0.01	13	40%	-0.04	6	-0.11	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.0	29.0	15.8	24.2	2.4	29.7	127.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +39.1%

ATL +5.1%

LAC -17.4%

ATL +21.4%

ATL +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	LAC	NBA	ATL	LAC	NBA
this game	16.5	16.4	15.5	110.2	92.0	106.4
season	15.8	15.7		106.7	100.7
opponent	15.1	16.1		109.8	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.1	14.8	17.0	19.6	16.5
LAC	15.5	16.5	16.5	17.3	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	72	72	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.02	19	-2	21	16.6	15.8	0.81	16.9	14.3	2.54
Josh Smith	72	71	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.11	13	4	9	16.2	17.7	-1.56	16.7	15.4	1.30
Marvin Williams	71	72	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.03	14	3	11	16.5	16.2	0.37	16.4	16.5	-0.12
Ronald Murray	56	53	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	3	11	17.7	14.3	3.35	17.1	15.5	1.59
Solomon Jones	36	36	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	6	5	16.1	16.8	-0.71	16.3	16.5	-0.22
Mike Bibby	59	60	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.05	10	7	3	16.1	17.2	-1.09	15.6	18.2	-2.54
Maurice Evans	14	14	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.02	4	13	-9	14.3	16.9	-2.61	16.4	16.4	-0.01
Acie Law	17	15	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	15	-13	16.7	16.4	0.28	15.3	16.7	-1.33
Mario West	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	15	-13	17.5	16.5	1.05	16.0	16.4	-0.44
Othello Hunter	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	15	-13	17.5	16.5	1.05	16.0	16.4	-0.44
Zaza Pachulia	39	40	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.10	-6	23	-29	16.4	16.6	-0.21	16.2	16.7	-0.48

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cheikh Samb	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-15	13	16.0	16.4	-0.44	17.5	16.5	1.05
Brian Skinner	45	45	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-19	21	16.5	16.4	0.06	16.4	16.5	-0.11
Steve Novak	8	8	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.03	-1	-16	15	13.7	16.7	-2.96	12.7	16.8	-4.10
Mardy Collins	64	62	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-13	9	17.0	14.9	2.13	16.9	15.4	1.50
DeAndre Jordan	17	17	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-14	11	19.5	15.7	3.77	17.4	16.3	1.16
Ricky Davis	29	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	-8	-1	16.2	16.5	-0.29	16.0	16.7	-0.67
Marcus Camby	74	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.09	-12	-5	-7	15.7	20.4	-4.64	16.1	18.8	-2.78
Eric Gordon	76	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	0	-17	16.1	18.5	-2.31	16.3	17.7	-1.43
Fred Jones	45	48	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.10	-20	3	-23	15.7	17.3	-1.60	17.3	15.5	1.79
Al Thornton	76	76	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.05	-19	2	-21	17.1	12.2	4.87	16.6	16.0	0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.27,0.39,0.34,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 119, LAL 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.01,0	95.1%
SAS 105, GSW 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.09,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
CHA 105, CHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.29,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0	94.8%