NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	101		Excitement	4.7 [857]		MVP	Andrea Bargnani (TOR): +26.4%
Toronto Raptors	85		Comeback	1.1 [919]		LVP	Anthony Parker (TOR): -11.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.15	0.04	0.02	11	79%	0.18	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.05
Rasheed Wallace	0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.06	0.08	12	77%	0.14	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Maxiell	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.02	-0.03	6	69%	0.10	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	14	58%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Jarvis Hayes	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	12	40%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Primoz Brezec	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Arron Afflalo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	9	22%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.19	0.06	-0.01	16	71%	0.26	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	9	53%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	13	56%	0.05	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	0.05	21	47%	-0.02	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.02
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	36%	-0.03	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.03
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	11	27%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.6	32.4	19.4	26.4	3.5	31.4	139.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +36.7%

DET +11.0%

DET +5.7%

DET +0.4%

TOR -3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	TOR	NBA	DET	TOR	NBA
this game	17.7	17.0	15.4	120.2	103.7	105.7
season	16.8	15.6		108.8	108.5
opponent	15.7	15.8		105.6	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	18.6	18.6	18.3	15.5	17.7
TOR	17.4	18.3	16.8	15.8	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Stuckey	34	33	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.14	12	4	8	16.3	18.7	-2.42	16.7	17.2	-0.49
Richard Hamilton	67	66	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.01	16	0	16	17.5	18.6	-1.18	17.6	14.3	3.32
Jason Maxiell	42	40	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.03	15	1	14	16.4	19.0	-2.60	16.4	17.6	-1.20
Antonio McDyess	60	60	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.16	5	11	-6	18.2	16.5	1.63	16.8	17.5	-0.70
Jarvis Hayes	24	23	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.11	6	10	-4	18.0	17.6	0.42	17.4	16.8	0.56
Rasheed Wallace	59	59	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.07	12	4	8	18.4	16.1	2.31	16.8	17.6	-0.80
Tayshaun Prince	63	61	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.07	10	6	4	17.5	18.3	-0.78	17.3	16.2	1.07
Chauncey Billups	60	57	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.07	4	12	-8	18.6	15.5	3.14	16.7	17.6	-0.88
Arron Afflalo	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	19.3	17.6	1.73	14.7	17.2	-2.48
Primoz Brezec	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	15.5	17.8	-2.31	24.7	16.7	7.97

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Parker	61	62	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.03	-8	-8	0	16.3	18.9	-2.51	18.6	15.3	3.29
Juan Dixon	16	15	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	-9	2	16.7	17.0	-0.30	16.1	18.0	-1.91
Jamario Moon	60	62	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	-9	2	17.0	16.8	0.23	18.2	16.2	2.06
Chris Bosh	73	76	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-8	0	16.8	18.4	-1.64	17.9	15.6	2.30
Carlos Delfino	24	25	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-7	-2	17.9	16.6	1.31	16.2	18.4	-2.20
Jason Kapono	18	19	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-8	0	17.7	16.8	0.87	15.2	18.4	-3.29
Kris Humphries	22	21	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	-7	-2	17.9	16.7	1.20	17.4	17.8	-0.43
Jose Calderon	67	69	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.03	-9	-7	-2	17.1	16.7	0.39	18.0	16.1	1.91
Andrea Bargnani	69	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.01	-15	-1	-14	16.9	17.5	-0.56	17.6	18.5	-0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.14,0.17,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.23,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 113, DET 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.26,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	94.4%
MIL 106, ATL 94	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.27,0.34,0.18,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.25,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.15,0.01,0,0	94.3%
PHI 101, NOH 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.19,0.28,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.12,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	94.2%