NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	120		Excitement	7.8 [40]		MVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): +20.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	130		Comeback	3.6 [61]		LVP	Gradey Dick (TOR): -11.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Immanuel Quickley	0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.05	0.02	16	65%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
RJ Barrett	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.03	0.02	12	71%	0.18	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Sandro Mamukelashvili	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	5	77%	0.13	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Collin Murray-Boyles	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Jamal Shead	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	7	64%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	17	51%	0.05	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.04
Scottie Barnes	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.03	-0.01	14	58%	0.06	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Jamison Battle	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ochai Agbaji	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ja'Kobe Walter	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gradey Dick	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	6	25%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.16	0.06	0.02	16	71%	0.26	2	-0.06	9	89%	0.01
Trendon Watford	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.05	0.01	10	80%	0.22	1	-0.04	5	60%	0.02
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.03	0.02	24	58%	0.16	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	8	72%	0.13	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	15	58%	0.09	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.02
Justin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Adem Bona	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
VJ Edgecombe	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	0.06	-0.01	15	34%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	5	33%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.7	1.6	30.5	0.0	32.2	0.0	33.0	0.0
league avg	26.2	2.3	28.6	14.8	29.1	2.3	32.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +19.2%

PHI +5.0%

PHI +31.1%

TOR -14.2%

PHI +9.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHI	NBA	TOR	PHI	NBA
this game	11.4	15.3	13.7	109.1	122.6	110.7
season	13.2	14.4		112.9	117.2
opponent	12.8	14.1		110.2	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	10.0	13.4	11.1	11.2	11.4
PHI	15.2	15.4	14.2	16.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gradey Dick	67	64	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.20	6	-16	22	11.1	11.9	-0.80	14.8	16.2	-1.40
Ochai Agbaji	58	56	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.07	1	-11	12	11.9	10.8	1.11	15.9	14.7	1.18
Jamison Battle	29	27	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-11	12	11.1	11.5	-0.32	14.7	15.5	-0.83
Sandro Mamukelashvili	96	92	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	-2	-6	11.4	11.3	0.10	15.2	16.2	-1.03
Ja'Kobe Walter	36	33	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	5	-20	13.3	10.4	2.83	15.2	15.4	-0.20
Scottie Barnes	105	102	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	-6	2	11.5	7.8	3.74	15.4	13.5	1.89
Immanuel Quickley	110	106	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	0	-10	11.4	0.0	11.37	15.3	0.0	15.32
Jamal Shead	102	97	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.25	-9	-1	-8	11.5	9.6	1.88	15.8	9.8	6.06
Collin Murray-Boyles	90	85	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.22	-13	3	-16	12.0	8.3	3.69	15.3	15.5	-0.25
Brandon Ingram	101	95	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.13	-17	7	-24	11.7	8.1	3.55	16.1	8.7	7.36
RJ Barrett	91	85	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.15	-21	11	-32	11.9	8.7	3.25	16.0	12.4	3.67

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trendon Watford	95	101	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.17	18	-8	26	15.5	14.0	1.47	11.6	8.8	2.83
Andre Drummond	64	66	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.11	19	-9	28	15.5	15.1	0.33	12.7	9.3	3.42
Kelly Oubre Jr.	98	105	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.17	13	-3	16	16.0	7.0	9.00	11.5	9.0	2.49
Tyrese Maxey	102	109	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.22	8	2	6	15.6	8.0	7.61	11.5	2.0	9.46
Quentin Grimes	92	96	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.14	8	2	6	15.2	16.2	-1.03	11.4	11.3	0.10
VJ Edgecombe	93	97	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	7	-4	15.5	13.9	1.59	11.5	10.4	1.12
Joel Embiid	93	97	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	7	-4	15.5	13.9	1.59	11.5	10.4	1.12
Jabari Walker	11	10	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.06	6	4	2	17.0	15.1	1.87	15.0	11.0	3.99
Justin Edwards	53	57	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.16	-11	21	-32	15.3	15.3	-0.04	10.7	12.1	-1.36
Adem Bona	27	29	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.10	-10	20	-30	15.4	15.3	0.07	10.0	11.9	-1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.35,0.37,0.47,0.45,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.71,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.79,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 89, NOH 100	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	91.5%
LAL 95, SEA 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.66,0.57,0.79,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.9,0.96,1	91.5%
DET 89, PHX 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1	91.4%