NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	120		Excitement	7.8 [200]		MVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): +20.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	130		Comeback	3.6 [315]		LVP	Gradey Dick (TOR): -11.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Immanuel Quickley	0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.05	0.02	16	65%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
RJ Barrett	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.03	0.02	12	71%	0.18	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Sandro Mamukelashvili	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	5	77%	0.13	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Collin Murray-Boyles	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Jamal Shead	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	7	64%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	17	51%	0.05	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.04
Scottie Barnes	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.03	-0.01	14	58%	0.06	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Jamison Battle	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ochai Agbaji	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ja'Kobe Walter	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gradey Dick	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	6	25%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.16	0.06	0.02	16	71%	0.26	2	-0.06	9	89%	0.01
Trendon Watford	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.05	0.01	10	80%	0.22	1	-0.04	5	60%	0.02
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.03	0.02	24	58%	0.16	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	8	72%	0.13	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	15	58%	0.09	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.02
Justin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Adem Bona	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
VJ Edgecombe	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	0.06	-0.01	15	34%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	5	33%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.7	1.6	30.5	0.0	32.2	0.0	33.0	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.6	2.3	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +19.2%

PHI +5.0%

PHI +31.1%

TOR -14.2%

PHI +9.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHI	NBA	TOR	PHI	NBA
this game	11.8	15.9	14.2	113.2	127.5	113.6
season	14.0	14.6		113.3	113.6
opponent	13.8	14.7		112.2	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	10.4	14.0	11.1	12.1	11.8
PHI	15.7	16.0	14.7	17.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gradey Dick	66	62	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.20	6	-16	22	11.3	12.6	-1.28	15.2	17.0	-1.73
Ochai Agbaji	57	55	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.07	1	-11	12	12.1	11.4	0.66	16.2	15.6	0.53
Jamison Battle	29	27	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-11	12	11.1	12.1	-0.91	14.7	16.4	-1.66
Sandro Mamukelashvili	93	89	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	-2	-6	11.8	12.2	-0.40	15.7	17.5	-1.76
Ja'Kobe Walter	36	33	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	5	-20	13.3	11.0	2.23	15.2	16.3	-1.09
Scottie Barnes	102	99	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	-6	2	11.9	9.7	2.13	15.9	18.0	-2.14
Immanuel Quickley	106	102	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	0	-10	11.8	0.0	11.80	15.9	0.0	15.92
Jamal Shead	99	96	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.25	-9	-1	-8	11.9	11.0	0.86	16.0	14.7	1.33
Collin Murray-Boyles	88	83	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.22	-13	3	-16	12.3	9.3	3.04	15.6	17.2	-1.52
Brandon Ingram	98	93	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.13	-17	7	-24	12.0	9.1	2.90	16.4	10.7	5.76
RJ Barrett	88	83	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.15	-21	11	-32	12.3	9.2	3.17	16.4	13.7	2.75

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trendon Watford	92	97	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.17	18	-8	26	16.0	15.4	0.58	12.1	8.8	3.30
Andre Drummond	62	64	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.11	19	-9	28	16.0	15.9	0.08	13.1	9.8	3.38
Kelly Oubre Jr.	96	101	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.17	13	-3	16	16.3	9.3	7.00	11.9	9.0	2.94
Tyrese Maxey	99	105	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.22	8	2	6	16.1	10.7	5.41	11.9	2.0	9.90
Quentin Grimes	89	93	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.14	8	2	6	15.7	17.5	-1.76	11.8	12.2	-0.40
VJ Edgecombe	90	94	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	7	-4	16.0	15.1	0.95	11.9	11.2	0.62
Joel Embiid	90	94	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	7	-4	16.0	15.1	0.95	11.9	11.2	0.62
Jabari Walker	11	10	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.06	6	4	2	17.0	15.8	1.21	15.0	11.5	3.53
Justin Edwards	52	56	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.16	-11	21	-32	15.6	16.3	-0.66	10.9	12.8	-1.89
Adem Bona	26	28	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.10	-10	20	-30	16.0	15.9	0.05	10.4	12.3	-1.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.35,0.37,0.47,0.45,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.71,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.79,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 89, NOH 100	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	91.5%
LAL 95, SEA 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.66,0.57,0.79,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.9,0.96,1	91.5%
DET 89, PHX 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1	91.4%