inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 89 Excitement5.5 [691] MVPJamal Mashburn (NOH): +12.9%
New Orleans Hornets 100 Comeback2.7 [547] LVPDavid Wesley (NOH): -14.2%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tracy McGrady0.030,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.030.07-0.010.022959%0.123-0.091090%0.03
Ryan Humphrey0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Pat Garrity-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.01-0.02550%0.042-0.052100%0.01
Pat Burke-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Olumide Oyedeji-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0000%-0.0300.0020%-0.03
Andrew DeClercq-0.030,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.01458%0.001-0.03425%-0.05
Shawn Kemp-0.050,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00633%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Mike Miller-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.011543%-0.002-0.0600%0.00
Jeryl Sasser-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.0030%-0.051-0.0400%0.00
Jacque Vaughn-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.03-0.030.02450%-0.022-0.0700%0.00
Darrell Armstrong-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.020.01758%0.034-0.125100%0.03

New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Mashburn0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.140.060.072264%0.161-0.031100%0.00
P.J. Brown0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.020.011269%0.111-0.032100%0.01
Bryce Drew0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.04-0.01350%0.0500.0000%0.00
Jerome Moiso0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.00371%0.0300.001100%0.00
George Lynch00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jamaal Magloire0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00262%0.011-0.03475%-0.01
Stacey Augmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.01450%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Courtney Alexander0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.000.011154%0.013-0.06475%0.01
Elden Campbell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.09-0.02-0.04952%0.014-0.08771%-0.00
David Wesley0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.14-0.05-0.041428%-0.141-0.00475%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.02.828.115.528.21.829.2130.6
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOH +19.8%
NOH +5.8%
NOH +2.4%
NOH +17.8%
NOH +4.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLNOHNBAORLNOHNBA
this game15.217.015.5100.0111.1101.6
season14.615.9102.7101.6
opponent15.615.899.6103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.619.814.013.315.2
NOH19.017.217.914.417.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Olumide Oyedeji23220.13-0.630.76-0.139-202913.915.6-1.7119.916.03.86
Ryan Humphrey44-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-121310.215.4-5.1618.716.91.84
Jeryl Sasser2423-0.17-0.330.160.01-6-5-117.514.33.1216.617.1-0.57
Pat Burke1110-0.19-0.310.120.08-9-2-720.514.46.1217.616.90.69
Andrew DeClercq4647-0.22-0.280.05-0.11-4-7315.215.10.1217.316.70.65
Jacque Vaughn5757-0.23-0.270.05-0.14-3-8513.817.7-3.9617.516.11.37
Shawn Kemp2930-0.27-0.23-0.030.03-10-1-917.214.23.0617.616.70.87
Mike Miller7171-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.18-4-7314.517.9-3.4717.614.82.79
Pat Garrity5457-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.17-6-5-114.316.5-2.1515.918.9-3.08
Tracy McGrady7779-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.16-9-2-715.414.01.3616.619.6-3.02
Darrell Armstrong4950-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.08-143-1715.914.31.6015.518.9-3.44

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Mashburn87850.490.010.480.20101917.018.0-1.0515.214.50.71
Stacey Augmon34330.400.100.30-0.0716-52115.118.1-3.0116.214.61.59
David Wesley80800.350.150.200.2638-516.818.2-1.3614.323.1-8.82
Bryce Drew22230.330.170.170.011101116.417.2-0.7717.914.23.69
Elden Campbell47450.310.190.130.0592715.918.1-2.2015.315.00.27
Jamaal Magloire42440.260.240.020.1447-318.515.62.9215.015.3-0.27
Jerome Moiso23230.260.240.01-0.0192716.517.2-0.6919.013.85.15
P.J. Brown50490.090.41-0.310.15-213-1518.115.62.5014.416.1-1.72
Courtney Alexander58560.070.43-0.360.19-415-1917.316.31.0013.817.6-3.81
George Lynch77-0.070.57-0.63-0.04-112-1318.616.91.7215.415.20.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 96, MIN 1060.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.73,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.9,0.83,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,193.9%
HOU 74, IND 850.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.82,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,193.9%
CHH 76, UTA 870.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.41,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,193.8%