NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	95		Excitement	7.6 [270]		MVP	Dale Ellis (SEA): +11.8%
Seattle SuperSonics	101		Comeback	1.9 [618]		LVP	Nick Van Exel (LAL): -28.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elden Campbell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Corie Blount	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	19	51%	0.02	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.02
Derek Fisher	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.06,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	19	59%	0.01	3	-0.10	13	46%	-0.10
Robert Horry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	4	10%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	14	50%	0.04	3	-0.15	8	62%	0.01
Nick Van Exel	-0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28	-0.13	-0.16	-0.01	20	36%	-0.17	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	9	74%	0.19	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	7	81%	0.14	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	11	63%	0.12	3	-0.09	8	100%	0.06
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.01	21	48%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
David Wingate	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2	-0.20	-0.11	-0.09	0.01	23	41%	-0.07	3	-0.14	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	99.3	2.6	31.2	16.7	29.1	2.8	41.0	222.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +23.7%

SEA +15.1%

SEA +15.3%

SEA +4.0%

LAL -8.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SEA	NBA	LAL	SEA	NBA
this game	14.6	16.0	15.6	101.1	107.4	102.5
season	14.8	15.3		110.0	109.3
opponent	16.2	15.6		102.3	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.7	15.6	14.0	15.0	14.6
SEA	18.2	13.7	17.3	15.0	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	5	5	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-6	6	14.6	14.6	-0.03	14.2	16.1	-1.91
Corie Blount	10	9	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.00	1	-7	8	13.8	14.7	-0.93	15.7	16.0	-0.38
Rick Fox	43	42	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-7	8	15.4	14.0	1.41	16.7	15.5	1.23
Shaquille O'Neal	68	70	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.28	1	-7	8	14.0	16.3	-2.38	16.2	15.4	0.80
Elden Campbell	40	36	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.00	-12	6	-18	15.8	13.7	2.08	15.6	16.3	-0.69
Kobe Bryant	67	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-2	-2	14.0	16.1	-2.08	15.4	17.5	-2.06
Eddie Jones	87	87	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.34	-4	-2	-2	14.6	15.0	-0.40	16.2	13.1	3.10
Nick Van Exel	89	89	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.35	-6	0	-6	14.6	14.6	0.03	16.1	14.2	1.91
Robert Horry	61	65	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.34	-7	1	-8	14.9	14.2	0.69	15.9	16.2	-0.23

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vin Baker	78	76	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.35	11	-5	16	15.6	17.8	-2.17	14.9	13.7	1.19
Detlef Schrempf	76	74	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.31	9	-3	12	16.1	15.7	0.43	14.7	14.2	0.48
Gary Payton	87	87	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.33	7	-1	8	16.0	16.4	-0.45	14.6	15.4	-0.87
Hersey Hawkins	70	69	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.26	5	1	4	16.1	15.7	0.41	14.3	15.6	-1.38
Dale Ellis	53	56	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	5	-4	15.7	16.4	-0.72	14.6	14.7	-0.18
Jim McIlvaine	22	19	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	8	-10	18.9	15.1	3.72	15.6	14.4	1.19
David Wingate	0	1	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	6	-6	0.0	16.0	-16.01	20.0	14.6	5.43
Greg Anthony	7	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	7	-8	16.4	16.0	0.45	15.4	14.6	0.87
Sam Perkins	43	46	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.02	-4	10	-14	16.3	15.8	0.45	13.8	15.4	-1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.66,0.57,0.79,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.9,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 88, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.53,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.84,0.99,0.95,1	92.7%
UTA 90, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.88,0.87,0.69,0.63,0.91,1,1	92.7%
ORL 90, MIL 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.63,0.73,0.78,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.87,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.94,1,1	92.6%