NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	103		Excitement	1.7 [586]		MVP	Svi Mykhailiuk (UTA): +14.2%
Detroit Pistons	114		Comeback	3.2 [765]		LVP	Taylor Hendricks (UTA): -9.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Svi Mykhailiuk	0.14	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.23	-0.03	0.05	16	80%	0.18	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Elijah Harkless	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	22	50%	0.08	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.04
Ace Bailey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Keyonte George	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	18	44%	0.06	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
Brice Sensabaugh	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter Clayton Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	0.00	4	67%	0.09	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Love	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	3	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jusuf Nurki?	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	8	33%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Filipowski	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	5	33%	-0.01	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Taylor Hendricks	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.09,-0.05,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.04	-0.04	28	53%	0.23	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Duren	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.03	-0.01	15	65%	0.17	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Ronald Holland II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	0.00	7	64%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ausar Thompson	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	12	60%	0.10	2	-0.01	6	67%	-0.02
Paul Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	0.04	9	56%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Duncan Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	0.04	7	56%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	8	50%	0.00	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.7	2.2	24.3	0.0	32.0	0.0	33.9	0.0
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +47.7%

UTA -22.3%

DET +14.4%

DET +9.4%

DET +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DET	NBA	UTA	DET	NBA
this game	14.9	13.6	14.2	102.0	112.9	113.4
season	13.9	14.2		111.5	114.8
opponent	14.4	13.6		107.6	119.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.8	13.8	17.8	13.3	14.9
DET	12.2	12.9	12.8	16.7	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brice Sensabaugh	25	26	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-11	11	15.2	14.8	0.46	12.7	13.9	-1.19
Taylor Hendricks	69	70	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-13	15	15.1	14.4	0.76	13.2	14.4	-1.13
Kevin Love	68	67	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	-5	-1	15.8	13.1	2.67	12.8	15.1	-2.28
Walter Clayton Jr.	71	72	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.10	-4	-7	3	15.1	14.3	0.79	12.8	15.6	-2.77
Kyle Filipowski	87	87	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.20	-1	-10	9	15.2	13.1	2.03	13.8	12.4	1.41
Ace Bailey	94	95	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.22	-8	-3	-5	15.3	9.6	5.72	13.8	10.2	3.62
Keyonte George	96	97	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.12	-12	1	-13	15.3	6.6	8.72	13.6	12.2	1.38
Elijah Harkless	67	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	-1	-9	16.2	12.3	3.96	13.9	12.8	1.07
Lauri Markkanen	101	101	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	0	-11	14.9	0.0	14.89	13.6	0.0	13.57
Jusuf Nurki?	90	90	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.24	-9	-2	-7	15.0	14.0	1.00	13.7	12.5	1.15
Svi Mykhailiuk	92	91	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.18	-11	0	-11	14.8	15.9	-1.10	13.7	12.3	1.41

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronald Holland II	98	97	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.18	11	0	11	13.6	12.3	1.28	15.3	4.2	11.08
Ausar Thompson	100	99	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.16	11	0	11	13.7	0.0	13.71	15.1	3.0	12.13
Jalen Duren	89	89	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.10	12	-1	13	13.6	13.2	0.46	15.1	13.4	1.67
Javonte Green	99	99	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	0	11	13.7	8.0	5.69	15.1	5.5	9.58
Isaiah Stewart	85	85	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.12	10	1	9	13.7	12.7	0.98	15.2	13.1	2.17
Cade Cunningham	95	94	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	2	7	14.0	6.8	7.17	15.0	13.4	1.57
Duncan Robinson	99	98	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.13	9	2	7	13.7	8.0	5.69	15.2	4.3	10.88
Caris LeVert	68	68	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.08	4	7	-3	12.8	15.2	-2.34	14.8	15.0	-0.16
Paul Reed	34	33	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.06	-6	17	-23	12.8	14.0	-1.13	14.8	14.9	-0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.59,0.63,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.66,0.83,0.85,0.96,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 104, DEN 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.36,0.44,0.39,0.5,0.45,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.96,1,1,1	93.8%
PHX 94, DAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	93.6%
ORL 76, CHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.55,0.63,0.77,0.78,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.83,0.81,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,1,1	93.2%