NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	121		Excitement	4.5 [508]		MVP	Donovan Mitchell (CLE): +25.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	132		Comeback	1.0 [660]		LVP	VJ Edgecombe (PHI): -16.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Drummond	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	7	93%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Justin Edwards	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trendon Watford	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.04	9	73%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Tyrese Maxey	0.02	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	20	56%	0.08	5	-0.06	8	62%	-0.02
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.01	0.05	16	56%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Johni Broome	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Walker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hunter Sallis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.10	-0.01	0.13	15	69%	-0.00	4	-0.04	9	89%	0.01
Adem Bona	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	3	36%	-0.02	3	-0.04	5	40%	-0.03
VJ Edgecombe	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.07	-0.04	14	23%	-0.10	1	-0.07	2	50%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.38	0.01	0.14	21	88%	0.31	2	-0.05	10	100%	0.03
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.02	0.01	17	67%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jaylon Tyson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.01	-0.02	7	71%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Mobley	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.01	-0.03	17	62%	0.13	4	-0.03	3	67%	0.01
Sam Merrill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.13	-0.00	0.05	6	100%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	58%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nae'Qwan Tomlin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Proctor	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	11	36%	-0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Craig Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	4	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	1.3	36.1	13.3	29.0	0.2	35.8	144.9
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.6	2.3	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +38.8%

CLE +7.2%

PHI -6.2%

CLE +9.1%

CLE +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CLE	NBA	PHI	CLE	NBA
this game	14.5	13.2	14.2	116.3	126.9	113.4
season	14.6	13.4		113.8	115.2
opponent	14.5	13.9		111.3	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.7	14.1	18.7	11.6	14.5
CLE	14.3	12.5	10.5	15.1	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johni Broome	24	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.28	9	-20	29	11.8	15.2	-3.42	14.8	12.7	2.12
Hunter Sallis	27	27	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.28	9	-20	29	11.6	15.5	-3.92	15.1	12.5	2.59
Jabari Walker	41	41	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.14	-8	-3	-5	13.5	15.1	-1.57	13.9	12.8	1.09
Tyrese Maxey	93	93	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	-6	1	14.6	13.6	0.92	13.4	11.3	2.15
Andre Drummond	93	93	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.32	-5	-6	1	14.5	14.4	0.11	13.4	11.3	2.15
Kelly Oubre Jr.	101	102	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	0	-11	14.6	9.3	5.28	13.1	19.0	-5.92
VJ Edgecombe	104	104	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	0	-11	14.5	0.0	14.46	13.2	0.0	13.19
Trendon Watford	92	91	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.01	-17	6	-23	15.0	10.6	4.38	13.1	13.8	-0.66
Adem Bona	62	61	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.06	-22	11	-33	15.4	13.0	2.41	12.8	13.8	-1.06
Quentin Grimes	99	100	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.18	-15	4	-19	14.6	12.4	2.17	13.2	12.5	0.72
Justin Edwards	79	80	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.11	-22	11	-33	14.9	13.0	1.87	13.3	13.0	0.30

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Allen	90	90	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.16	18	-7	25	13.3	12.6	0.72	14.8	12.3	2.51
Lonzo Ball	86	86	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.04	20	-9	29	13.1	13.5	-0.37	15.1	11.3	3.78
Sam Merrill	101	100	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.15	13	-2	15	13.1	14.7	-1.52	14.6	10.2	4.38
Donovan Mitchell	103	103	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	0	11	13.1	25.0	-11.92	14.6	5.0	9.55
Jaylon Tyson	91	92	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	9	-7	13.8	8.9	4.88	14.2	16.7	-2.59
Craig Porter Jr.	77	78	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.35	-1	12	-13	12.9	14.0	-1.14	14.6	14.0	0.62
Evan Mobley	90	90	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.29	0	11	-11	13.6	10.6	3.03	14.4	14.9	-0.46
Darius Garland	77	76	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.29	0	11	-11	13.4	12.7	0.61	14.2	15.2	-0.98
Larry Nance Jr.	46	46	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.06	6	5	1	14.1	12.5	1.60	13.9	14.9	-1.06
Dean Wade	13	12	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.10	9	2	7	13.4	13.2	0.22	12.4	14.7	-2.31
Thomas Bryant	27	27	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.28	-9	20	-29	15.1	12.5	2.59	11.6	15.5	-3.92
Nae'Qwan Tomlin	25	24	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.28	-9	20	-29	14.8	12.7	2.12	11.8	15.2	-3.42
Tyrese Proctor	25	24	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.28	-9	20	-29	14.8	12.7	2.12	11.8	15.2	-3.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.66,0.77,0.86,0.82,0.72,0.76,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 111, PHX 139	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
NOH 106, PHX 120	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
IND 100, MIL 119	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.75,0.79,0.72,0.67,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.7,0.81,0.89,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.87,0.92,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%