NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	100		Excitement	4.4 [871]		MVP	Wesley Matthews (MIL): +14.7%
Milwaukee Bucks	119		Comeback	1.1 [1056]		LVP	Domantas Sabonis (IND): -14.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug McDermott	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.17	0.00	0.05	8	94%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
T.J. Warren	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	18	49%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
JaKarr Sampson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.01	0.04	7	64%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alize Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
TJ Leaf	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Edmond Sumner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	6	38%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.03	-0.05	13	54%	0.05	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	9	39%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	9	22%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.07	-0.07	16	42%	0.02	6	-0.16	4	50%	-0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.01	-0.02	10	75%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.03	-0.05	16	62%	0.16	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	5	70%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	9	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.02	23	55%	0.10	4	-0.07	7	100%	0.02
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.10	-0.01	0.06	10	73%	0.08	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.01
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sterling Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	6	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	6	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.8	28.0	15.0	28.0	2.5	29.4	129.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +36.4%

MIL +5.4%

MIL +2.5%

MIL +4.3%

MIL +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIL	NBA	IND	MIL	NBA
this game	13.9	11.7	14.2	88.5	106.2	109.6
season	14.4	13.2		108.7	111.0
opponent	14.1	14.4		102.6	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.1	12.2	14.1	14.5	13.9
MIL	11.6	12.2	10.8	12.3	11.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goga Bitadze	17	18	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.41	17	-36	53	11.2	14.4	-3.21	14.2	11.2	3.02
Justin Holiday	44	43	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.14	8	-27	35	13.2	14.3	-1.11	12.7	11.1	1.56
JaKarr Sampson	38	39	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.50	20	-39	59	12.7	14.5	-1.76	12.8	11.1	1.78
Doug McDermott	44	44	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.16	-4	-15	11	13.6	14.1	-0.55	11.7	11.7	0.07
Alize Johnson	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-28	37	12.9	14.0	-1.11	14.9	11.4	3.43
TJ Leaf	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-28	37	12.9	14.0	-1.11	14.9	11.4	3.43
Edmond Sumner	10	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-28	37	12.2	14.1	-1.87	15.0	11.3	3.67
T.J. McConnell	72	71	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-16	13	13.6	14.5	-0.92	11.5	12.0	-0.57
Malcolm Brogdon	25	25	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.14	-14	-5	-9	14.8	13.6	1.20	12.3	11.5	0.76
Aaron Holiday	61	58	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.27	-28	9	-37	14.2	13.5	0.67	10.8	12.7	-1.93
Myles Turner	74	71	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	0.56	-39	20	-59	14.5	12.8	1.61	11.0	12.8	-1.80
Domantas Sabonis	88	87	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	0.46	-38	19	-57	14.5	11.8	2.65	10.9	14.5	-3.65
T.J. Warren	78	77	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	0.53	-41	22	-63	14.6	12.3	2.30	11.0	13.1	-2.08

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khris Middleton	68	70	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.26	27	-8	35	11.4	12.1	-0.66	14.3	13.2	1.12
Wesley Matthews	59	63	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.19	22	-3	25	10.4	13.1	-2.63	14.5	13.2	1.30
Brook Lopez	59	59	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.20	21	-2	23	10.3	13.2	-2.85	14.3	13.4	0.91
Giannis Antetokounmpo	69	69	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.38	26	-7	33	10.6	13.4	-2.81	14.0	13.7	0.32
Eric Bledsoe	63	66	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.00	10	9	1	10.4	13.4	-3.02	14.3	13.4	0.89
Marvin Williams	43	43	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.27	-4	23	-27	13.4	10.6	2.81	13.7	14.0	-0.37
Donte DiVincenzo	55	53	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.18	11	8	3	12.3	11.1	1.29	13.8	14.0	-0.14
Robin Lopez	49	51	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.07	2	17	-15	13.2	10.5	2.62	13.6	14.1	-0.50
Pat Connaughton	45	43	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	17	-15	13.0	10.8	2.27	13.0	14.4	-1.38
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	28	-37	14.9	11.4	3.43	12.9	14.0	-1.11
Frank Mason	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	28	-37	15.0	11.3	3.67	12.2	14.1	-1.87
Sterling Brown	31	31	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	23	-27	12.4	11.4	1.01	12.7	14.3	-1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.75,0.79,0.72,0.67,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.7,0.81,0.89,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.87,0.92,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 111, PHX 139	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
NOH 106, PHX 120	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
MIL 100, NJN 125	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%