NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	106		Excitement	4.3 [938]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): +23.2%
Phoenix Suns	120		Comeback	1.2 [1155]		LVP	Jason Richardson (PHX): -9.8%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Thornton	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.16	0.03	0.08	21	67%	0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
David West	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.01	0.03	15	60%	0.07	0	0.00	10	100%	0.03
Emeka Okafor	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	0.01	0.08	12	56%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Darius Songaila	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	14	45%	0.00	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Julian Wright	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	8	35%	-0.03	3	-0.04	4	25%	-0.01
Morris Peterson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	0.05	11	54%	-0.06	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.21	0.06	0.04	17	75%	0.29	3	-0.06	14	100%	0.08
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	-0.00	0.02	6	81%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.02	5	77%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	7	87%	0.10	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Jarron Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	3	70%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Taylor Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	5	50%	0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	53%	-0.01	1	0.00	5	40%	-0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.02	-0.04	0.08	15	62%	0.02	4	-0.12	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.8	31.0	15.8	32.3	2.7	32.2	141.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +33.2%

PHX +17.9%

PHX +9.5%

NOH -11.7%

PHX +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	PHX	NBA	NOH	PHX	NBA
this game	15.4	13.6	15.3	107.1	120.0	106.0
season	15.5	14.4		106.0	113.5
opponent	15.5	15.2		109.0	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.1	16.6	14.5	14.2	15.4
PHX	11.2	14.0	14.3	15.1	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Gray	26	24	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.20	3	-17	20	14.2	15.8	-1.65	15.9	12.8	3.07
Marcus Thornton	70	70	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.22	0	-14	14	15.7	14.5	1.26	14.4	11.7	2.73
David West	69	72	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.12	-12	-2	-10	16.4	12.9	3.50	12.7	15.9	-3.21
Darius Songaila	34	33	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	-4	-6	15.8	15.2	0.60	13.8	13.5	0.27
Morris Peterson	59	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	-1	-12	14.3	16.9	-2.64	13.7	13.5	0.19
Emeka Okafor	69	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.17	-7	-7	0	14.6	17.2	-2.62	13.6	13.5	0.14
Julian Wright	84	84	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	-10	6	15.2	16.6	-1.45	13.6	13.6	0.02
Darren Collison	84	85	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	0.20	-27	13	-40	16.0	11.7	4.37	12.8	17.7	-4.89

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	67	66	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.08	18	-4	22	13.0	14.8	-1.76	15.6	15.0	0.61
Jason Richardson	69	67	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.27	24	-10	34	12.7	15.6	-2.99	15.2	15.7	-0.42
Steve Nash	61	60	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	2	10	13.1	14.3	-1.11	15.4	15.3	0.15
Grant Hill	51	52	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	1	12	12.8	14.4	-1.54	15.1	15.7	-0.63
Robin Lopez	49	47	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.01	10	4	6	12.9	14.3	-1.38	14.9	15.8	-0.91
Goran Dragic	45	45	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.13	3	11	-8	14.0	13.3	0.68	16.1	14.8	1.35
Channing Frye	42	43	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.13	11	3	8	13.3	13.8	-0.47	17.0	14.1	2.92
Jared Dudley	53	52	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	9	-4	13.8	13.3	0.57	16.9	13.7	3.26
Lou Amundson	33	33	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.17	-4	18	-22	14.8	13.0	1.76	15.0	15.6	-0.61
Earl Clark	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	22	-30	17.9	13.0	4.93	11.7	15.9	-4.22
Jarron Collins	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	21	-28	18.7	13.1	5.59	10.0	15.9	-5.91
Taylor Griffin	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	21	-28	18.7	13.1	5.59	10.0	15.9	-5.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 111, PHX 139	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
ORL 61, PHI 78	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
MIL 97, WAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.8,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.71,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.0%