NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	97		Excitement	5.1 [784]		MVP	Nene (WAS): +19.8%
Washington Wizards	108		Comeback	1.0 [1213]		LVP	Jabari Parker (MIL): -27.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Knight	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.03	-0.02	15	71%	0.21	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.05
Jerryd Bayless	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.01	0.04	10	71%	0.09	4	-0.08	8	100%	0.04
John Henson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jared Dudley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Marshall	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Larry Sanders	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.03	4	67%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	3	57%	0.02	3	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
O.J. Mayo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	7	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Khris Middleton	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	37%	0.00	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	-0.27	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.25,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.13	-0.13	0.01	17	36%	-0.14	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nene	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.17	0.03	-0.01	12	81%	0.21	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	11	72%	0.13	1	-0.01	7	86%	-0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.00	0.05	9	78%	0.13	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	14	62%	0.11	4	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Glen Rice Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	44%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
DeJuan Blair	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	14	51%	0.05	4	-0.10	9	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.4	31.6	15.4	32.2	0.2	28.0	138.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +46.3%

MIL -7.5%

MIL -15.8%

WAS +29.2%

MIL -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	WAS	NBA	MIL	WAS	NBA
this game	14.3	14.5	15.1	97.0	108.0	104.2
season	14.5	15.1		100.5	102.9
opponent	15.3	15.7		101.7	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.7	15.8	14.5	12.1	14.3
WAS	12.4	14.2	13.2	18.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendall Marshall	12	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-11	11	15.3	14.2	1.15	16.9	14.2	2.73
John Henson	33	35	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.24	7	-18	25	12.2	15.4	-3.19	16.1	13.6	2.47
Jerryd Bayless	42	44	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.21	5	-16	21	12.5	15.6	-3.14	16.5	12.9	3.53
Zaza Pachulia	31	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-9	7	13.0	14.9	-1.96	12.1	15.7	-3.61
Ersan Ilyasova	37	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-11	11	15.0	13.9	1.04	12.9	15.4	-2.47
Giannis Antetokounmpo	28	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	-8	5	13.1	14.8	-1.68	14.2	14.6	-0.42
Khris Middleton	52	51	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	-5	-1	15.4	13.2	2.22	13.8	15.2	-1.38
O.J. Mayo	39	40	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.09	-6	-5	-1	12.9	15.2	-2.33	15.6	13.7	1.91
Jabari Parker	69	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-7	3	14.7	13.4	1.31	14.7	14.0	0.65
Jared Dudley	30	27	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.10	-14	3	-17	16.6	13.3	3.26	13.7	14.8	-1.01
Brandon Knight	78	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	0	-11	14.5	13.7	0.76	14.1	15.9	-1.77
Larry Sanders	49	46	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.13	-21	10	-31	15.9	12.8	3.09	14.5	14.4	0.08

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	79	79	0.70	-0.20	0.90	-0.09	27	-16	43	13.8	16.9	-3.01	14.9	12.2	2.64
John Wall	80	80	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.07	25	-14	39	13.5	18.2	-4.71	14.9	12.0	2.84
Nene	64	65	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.10	14	-3	17	14.8	13.9	0.88	15.4	12.3	3.04
Garrett Temple	78	78	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.06	15	-4	19	14.4	14.7	-0.26	14.5	13.8	0.70
Otto Porter	78	77	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	9	-7	15.0	12.6	2.36	13.5	17.1	-3.65
Paul Pierce	33	35	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.16	10	1	9	12.9	15.3	-2.34	16.5	13.1	3.38
DeJuan Blair	9	8	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.17	-6	17	-23	16.0	14.3	1.67	12.0	14.5	-2.52
Kris Humphries	16	16	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.09	-4	15	-19	14.9	14.4	0.47	12.4	14.7	-2.32
Drew Gooden	31	31	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.11	-6	17	-23	15.3	14.1	1.13	12.5	15.1	-2.61
Glen Rice Jr.	12	11	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.16	-8	19	-27	14.6	14.5	0.12	11.5	14.7	-3.22
Andre Miller	20	20	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.25	-14	25	-39	18.2	13.5	4.71	12.0	14.9	-2.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.8,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.71,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 95, NOH 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
HOU 95, IND 105	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.7,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
DAL 97, LAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.1%