NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	95		Excitement	4.9 [843]		MVP	Paul George (IND): +12.4%
Indiana Pacers	105		Comeback	1.0 [1083]		LVP	James Harden (HOU): -13.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chandler Parsons	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.01	0.04	9	80%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lin	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	71%	0.09	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.12	0.00	0.10	11	71%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	13	67%	0.09	5	-0.07	7	86%	0.01
James Anderson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	8	19%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	19	40%	-0.01	5	-0.12	5	80%	-0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.15	0.01	0.04	19	77%	0.19	5	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	9	62%	0.07	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	18	48%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Orlando Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ben Hansbrough	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	10	45%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	12	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.7	28.2	15.4	22.8	1.8	30.3	127.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +28.0%

HOU -0.2%

IND +8.8%

IND +13.5%

HOU -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	IND	NBA	HOU	IND	NBA
this game	15.2	16.0	15.4	103.3	112.9	104.1
season	14.2	16.1		107.9	102.4
opponent	15.5	15.4		99.0	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.3	16.5	17.0	15.5	15.2
IND	14.9	17.0	15.0	17.2	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Anderson	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-11	12	13.5	15.2	-1.70	15.5	16.0	-0.48
Donatas Motiejunas	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-11	12	13.5	15.2	-1.70	15.5	16.0	-0.48
Patrick Beverley	32	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.15	3	-13	16	14.8	15.3	-0.54	15.9	16.0	-0.15
Greg Smith	33	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	-4	-2	14.7	15.4	-0.73	16.5	15.7	0.84
Marcus Morris	21	21	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.04	-9	-1	-8	16.5	14.8	1.76	15.0	16.2	-1.25
Chandler Parsons	78	79	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.31	3	-13	16	14.9	16.4	-1.41	16.3	14.3	1.98
Patrick Patterson	49	50	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-5	0	14.4	16.0	-1.57	15.8	16.1	-0.32
Carlos Delfino	45	45	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-6	2	15.9	14.4	1.51	16.2	15.7	0.54
Omer Asik	59	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-6	2	15.4	14.7	0.73	15.7	16.5	-0.84
Jeremy Lin	60	62	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.05	-13	3	-16	15.3	14.8	0.54	16.0	15.9	0.15
James Harden	79	80	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.07	-17	7	-24	15.1	15.5	-0.35	15.9	16.5	-0.57

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	83	82	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.09	16	-6	22	15.7	18.3	-2.61	15.2	14.7	0.52
David West	68	66	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.04	14	-4	18	15.3	17.8	-2.45	15.1	15.3	-0.15
George Hill	73	71	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.24	6	4	2	16.2	15.0	1.23	15.3	14.7	0.58
Lance Stephenson	73	71	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.08	11	-1	12	15.6	17.3	-1.70	15.4	14.4	1.01
Roy Hibbert	45	44	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	4	2	16.9	15.1	1.83	15.9	14.5	1.47
Jeff Ayres	15	16	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.13	1	9	-8	12.5	16.6	-4.17	17.5	14.7	2.83
Ian Mahinmi	24	24	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.04	6	4	2	16.0	15.9	0.10	12.3	16.2	-3.83
D.J. Augustin	34	34	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.17	-2	12	-14	15.9	16.0	-0.04	15.1	15.2	-0.07
Tyler Hansbrough	32	33	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.15	-3	13	-16	17.4	15.2	2.19	15.3	15.1	0.27
Ben Hansbrough	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	20.0	15.9	4.08	10.0	15.2	-5.22
Orlando Johnson	17	18	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	13	-16	18.0	15.5	2.49	13.5	15.6	-2.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.7,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 86, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.74,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.68,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.72,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
MIL 97, WAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.8,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.71,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.1%
DEN 70, DET 87	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%