NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	111		Excitement	4.7 [892]		MVP	Steve Nash (PHX): +13.2%
Phoenix Suns	139		Comeback	1.0 [1289]		LVP	Beno Udrih (SAC): -7.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Francisco Garcia	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.02	18	66%	0.15	4	-0.06	8	87%	0.03
Jason Thompson	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.16	-0.03	0.05	11	72%	0.11	1	-0.03	10	90%	0.03
Rashad McCants	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	9	71%	0.09	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Spencer Hawes	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.00	0.04	18	59%	0.05	3	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Will Solomon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Diogu	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Simmons	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	17%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	3	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	11	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Calvin Booth	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	5	25%	-0.03	3	-0.04	2	50%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	0.01	0.02	19	72%	0.20	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jason Richardson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.00	14	58%	0.12	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	0.01	10	68%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	4	73%	0.10	1	-0.02	7	43%	-0.04
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.04	4	62%	0.07	2	-0.01	5	80%	0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	0.00	0.06	9	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Alando Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	8	55%	0.06	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.06	4	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	0.00	0.09	8	69%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	9	32%	-0.02	1	0.00	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	2.8	37.1	15.7	24.1	2.7	28.3	139.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +38.3%

SAC -1.1%

PHX +12.5%

SAC -3.6%

PHX +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHX	NBA	SAC	PHX	NBA
this game	15.4	12.7	15.5	108.8	135.0	106.4
season	15.0	14.1		104.0	112.1
opponent	15.5	15.1		109.9	112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.8	12.8	17.3	16.2	15.4
PHX	10.5	12.9	14.0	13.8	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donte Greene	21	22	0.13	-0.63	0.77	0.19	-2	-26	24	13.9	15.8	-1.93	14.7	12.2	2.50
Bobby Jackson	53	53	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.11	-3	-25	22	14.5	16.4	-1.96	12.7	12.8	-0.12
Will Solomon	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-23	18	15.8	15.4	0.43	22.4	12.2	10.18
Ike Diogu	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-22	16	13.4	15.6	-2.14	16.2	12.4	3.84
Cedric Simmons	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-22	16	13.4	15.6	-2.14	16.2	12.4	3.84
Rashad McCants	44	44	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.12	-6	-22	16	14.5	16.1	-1.65	12.7	12.7	0.02
Calvin Booth	7	8	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-25	22	13.6	15.5	-1.95	12.5	12.7	-0.24
Spencer Hawes	82	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.17	-20	-8	-12	15.8	13.6	2.23	12.1	15.1	-3.05
Francisco Garcia	88	89	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.12	-19	-9	-10	15.5	14.4	1.12	12.3	15.3	-2.97
Jason Thompson	62	63	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.04	-17	-11	-6	16.0	14.4	1.59	12.5	13.0	-0.50
Beno Udrih	59	59	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.26	-29	1	-30	16.3	14.1	2.25	12.3	13.2	-0.89
Andres Nocioni	71	72	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	0.09	-24	-4	-20	15.7	14.6	1.17	12.3	13.6	-1.33

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	68	67	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.07	19	9	10	12.2	13.8	-1.64	15.5	15.2	0.29
Shaquille O'Neal	50	50	0.47	0.04	0.43	0.03	15	13	2	12.0	13.4	-1.40	16.2	14.6	1.62
Jason Richardson	54	54	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.08	18	10	8	11.9	13.6	-1.67	16.0	14.7	1.29
Matt Barnes	62	62	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.08	18	10	8	11.7	14.3	-2.57	15.6	15.0	0.60
Grant Hill	54	55	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.13	8	20	-12	12.9	12.6	0.28	15.7	15.0	0.73
Leandro Barbosa	34	33	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.15	9	19	-10	11.6	13.2	-1.60	15.0	15.6	-0.53
Lou Amundson	42	42	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.24	11	17	-6	14.4	11.6	2.77	15.2	15.5	-0.26
Goran Dragic	38	37	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.30	12	16	-4	13.8	12.1	1.78	15.4	15.4	-0.06
Jared Dudley	62	59	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.34	13	15	-2	13.4	11.6	1.80	14.6	16.4	-1.77
Alando Tucker	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	24	-20	22.4	12.2	10.18	14.0	15.5	-1.48
Robin Lopez	46	45	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.38	13	15	-2	12.8	12.6	0.19	14.5	16.1	-1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 62, CHI 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
NOH 106, PHX 120	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
CLE 76, POR 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%